20.6
Nov 28 • 12:00PM ET
OU 45
Model: 40.5 (u)
19.7
4-7 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 5-6
20.6
Raw: 20.4 • Adj: 20.6 • Mode: 24
+5
Nov 28 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 45 Model: 40.5 (u)
3-8 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 5-6
19.7
Raw: 18.3 • Adj: 19.7 • Mode: 10
-5
Spread
Money
Total
Golden Flashes
+5
+170
o45
Huskies
-5
-205
u45
Model Picks
Kent State +5 (-105)
(63% Cover Probability)
UNDER 45 (-110)
(65% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Northern Illinois +5 (-443)
(58% Cover Probability)
UNDER 56.5 (-316)
(83% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Kent State +5 (-105)
(63% Cover Probability)
UNDER 45 (-110)
(65% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Northern Illinois +5 (-443)
(58% Cover Probability)
UNDER 56.5 (-316)
(83% Hit Probability)
First Half
17.4
Kent State -1.0
Second Half
21.4
Kent State -1.2
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/28/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: MEDIUM · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Northern Illinois +5 (-443)
-4.1
- Model Prob
- 58.1%
- Market Implied
- 81.6%
- Model Prob
- 83.5%
- Market Implied
- 76.0%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -0.9
- Total Delta
- -1.0
- Home Residual
- -1.4
- Away Residual
- -0.0
- Raw Total
- 38.7
- Adjusted Total
- 40.3
Team Form & Stats
Kent State
Record 4-7 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
20.6
Vegas Spread
+5
Passing Yds
161
Rushing Yds
208
Pass TDs
1.3
Rush TDs
1.2
Northern Illinois
Record 3-8 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
19.7
Vegas Spread
-5
Passing Yds
147
Rushing Yds
233
Pass TDs
0.8
Rush TDs
1.3
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 11, 2025 |
@ Akron |
W 42-35 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 5, 2025 |
@ Ball State |
L 13-17 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Bowling Green |
W 24-21 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Toledo |
L 10-45 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Massachusetts |
W 42-6 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 12, 2025 |
@ Massachusetts |
W 45-3 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 5, 2025 |
@ Toledo |
L 3-42 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Ball State |
W 21-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Ohio |
L 21-48 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Eastern Michigan |
L 10-16 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
17.4
Kent State -1.0
Second Half
21.4
Kent State -1.2
Spread Confidence
MEDIUM
Model Probability: 58%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 83%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
45
Model Play Line
56.5
Model Projection
40.3
Edge
UNDER by 16.2
UNDER 83% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
23.2
Nov 28 • 12:00PM ET
OU 38.5
Model: 39.5 (o)
16.6
7-4 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 4-6
23.2
Raw: 21.8 • Adj: 23.2 • Mode: 17
-6
Nov 28 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 38.5 Model: 39.5 (o)
7-4 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 8-3
16.6
Raw: 16.6 • Mode: 14
+6
Spread
Money
Total
Hawkeyes
-6
-225
o38.5
Cornhuskers
+6
+185
u38.5
Model Picks
Iowa -6 (-110)
(52% Cover Probability)
OVER 38.5 (-108)
(54% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Nebraska +15.5 (-371)
(71% Cover Probability)
OVER 30.5 (-310)
(89% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Iowa -6 (-110)
(52% Cover Probability)
OVER 38.5 (-108)
(54% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Nebraska +15.5 (-371)
(71% Cover Probability)
OVER 30.5 (-310)
(89% Hit Probability)
First Half
17.8
Iowa -2.8
Second Half
20.5
Iowa -2.3
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/28/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Nebraska +15.5 (-371)
-0.6
- Model Prob
- 77.4%
- Market Implied
- 78.8%
- Model Prob
- 75.5%
- Market Implied
- 75.6%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +1.3
- Total Delta
- +1.4
- Home Residual
- +0.0
- Away Residual
- +2.1
- Raw Total
- 38.3
- Adjusted Total
- 39.7
Team Form & Stats
Iowa
Record 7-4 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 4-6
Model Score
23.2
Vegas Spread
-6
Passing Yds
142
Rushing Yds
221
Pass TDs
1.1
Rush TDs
1.5
Nebraska
Record 7-4 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 8-3
Model Score
16.6
Vegas Spread
+6
Passing Yds
182
Rushing Yds
171
Pass TDs
1.0
Rush TDs
1.0
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ USC |
L 21-26 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Oregon |
L 16-18 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Minnesota |
W 41-3 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Penn State |
W 25-24 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Wisconsin |
W 37-0 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ UCLA |
W 28-21 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs USC |
L 17-21 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Northwestern |
W 28-21 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 17, 2025 |
@ Minnesota |
L 6-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Maryland |
W 34-31 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
17.8
Iowa -2.8
Second Half
20.5
Iowa -2.3
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 77%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 75%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
38.5
Model Play Line
30.5
Model Projection
39.7
Edge
OVER by 9.2
OVER 75% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
34.1
Nov 28 • 12:00PM ET
OU 60.5
Model: 59 (u)
24.7
9-2 • ATS: 8-3 • O/U: 8-3
34.1
Raw: 17.9 • Adj: 34.1 • Mode: 7
-12.5
Nov 28 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 60.5 Model: 59 (u)
5-6 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 4-6
24.7
Raw: 23.4 • Adj: 24.7 • Mode: 24
+12.5
Spread
Money
Total
Utes
-12.5
-425
o60.5
Jayhawks
+12.5
+330
u60.5
Model Picks
Kansas +12.5 (-110)
(58% Cover Probability)
UNDER 60.5 (-110)
(55% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Kansas +22.5 (-406)
(79% Cover Probability)
UNDER 70.5 (-333)
(81% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Kansas +12.5 (-110)
(58% Cover Probability)
UNDER 60.5 (-110)
(55% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Kansas +22.5 (-406)
(79% Cover Probability)
UNDER 70.5 (-333)
(81% Hit Probability)
First Half
19.2
Kansas -2.2
Second Half
22.0
Kansas -3.4
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/28/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Kansas +22.5 (-406)
+3.0
- Model Prob
- 78.9%
- Market Implied
- 80.2%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 76.9%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +6.0
- Total Delta
- +6.0
- Home Residual
- -3.7
- Away Residual
- +19.7
- Raw Total
- 41.3
- Adjusted Total
- 58.8
Team Form & Stats
Utah
Record 9-2 · ATS 8-3 · O/U 8-3
#13
Model Score
34.1
Vegas Spread
-12.5
Passing Yds
148
Rushing Yds
203
Pass TDs
1.0
Rush TDs
1.1
Kansas
Record 5-6 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 4-6
Model Score
24.7
Vegas Spread
+12.5
Passing Yds
181
Rushing Yds
222
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
1.6
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Baylor |
W 55-28 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Cincinnati |
W 45-14 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Colorado |
W 53-7 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ BYU |
L 21-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Arizona State |
W 42-10 |
✓ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Arizona |
L 20-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Oklahoma State |
W 38-21 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Kansas State |
L 17-42 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Texas Tech |
L 17-42 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ UCF |
W 27-20 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
19.2
Kansas -2.2
Second Half
22.0
Kansas -3.4
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 79%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
60.5
Model Play Line
70.5
Model Projection
58.8
Edge
UNDER by 11.7
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
31.4
Nov 28 • 12:00PM ET
OU 62.5
Model: 59 (u)
27.6
10-1 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 6-5
31.4
Raw: 27.6 • Adj: 31.4 • Mode: 24
-7
Nov 28 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 62.5 Model: 59 (u)
5-6 • ATS: 8-3 • O/U: 6-5
27.6
Raw: 21.7 • Adj: 27.6 • Mode: 17
+7
Spread
Money
Total
Rebels
-7
-298
o62.5
Bulldogs
+7
+240
u62.5
Model Picks
Mississippi State +7 (-115)
(57% Cover Probability)
UNDER 62.5 (-112)
(60% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Mississippi State +16 (-304)
(76% Cover Probability)
UNDER 73.5 (-322)
(78% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Mississippi State +7 (-115)
(57% Cover Probability)
UNDER 62.5 (-112)
(60% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Mississippi State +16 (-304)
(76% Cover Probability)
UNDER 73.5 (-322)
(78% Hit Probability)
First Half
23.4
Ole Miss -2.8
Second Half
25.9
Ole Miss -3.1
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/28/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Mississippi State +16 (-304)
+3.1
- Model Prob
- 76.1%
- Market Implied
- 75.2%
- Model Prob
- 78.5%
- Market Implied
- 76.3%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -2.2
- Total Delta
- +2.2
- Home Residual
- +3.4
- Away Residual
- —
- Raw Total
- 49.4
- Adjusted Total
- 59.0
Team Form & Stats
Ole Miss
Record 10-1 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 6-5
#5
Model Score
31.4
Vegas Spread
-7
Passing Yds
241
Rushing Yds
233
Pass TDs
1.9
Rush TDs
1.7
Mississippi State
Record 5-6 · ATS 8-3 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
27.6
Vegas Spread
+7
Passing Yds
204
Rushing Yds
200
Pass TDs
1.3
Rush TDs
1.2
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Florida |
W 34-24 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs South Carolina |
W 30-14 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Oklahoma |
W 34-26 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Georgia |
L 35-43 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Washington State |
W 24-21 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Missouri |
L 27-49 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Georgia |
L 21-41 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Arkansas |
W 38-35 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Texas |
L 38-45 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Florida |
L 21-23 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
23.4
Ole Miss -2.8
Second Half
25.9
Ole Miss -3.1
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 76%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 78%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
62.5
Model Play Line
73.5
Model Projection
59.0
Edge
UNDER by 14.5
UNDER 78% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
25.1
Nov 28 • 12:00PM ET
OU 44
Model: 43 (u)
17.8
7-4 • ATS: 5-5-1 • O/U: 5-6
25.1
Raw: 22.6 • Adj: 25.1 • Mode: 14
-7
Nov 28 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 44 Model: 43 (u)
5-6 • ATS: 3-7-1 • O/U: 6-5
17.8
Raw: 16.4 • Adj: 17.8 • Mode: 24
+7
Spread
Money
Total
Bobcats
-7
-270
o44
Bulls
+7
+220
u44
Model Picks
Ohio -7 (-108)
(51% Cover Probability)
UNDER 44 (-115)
(54% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Buffalo +16.5 (-312)
(71% Cover Probability)
UNDER 55.5 (-342)
(67% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Ohio -7 (-108)
(51% Cover Probability)
UNDER 44 (-115)
(54% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Buffalo +16.5 (-312)
(71% Cover Probability)
UNDER 55.5 (-342)
(67% Hit Probability)
First Half
18.5
Ohio -2.5
Second Half
20.4
Ohio -3.6
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/28/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LOW
Spread
Buffalo +16.5 (-312)
-0.4
- Model Prob
- 77.4%
- Market Implied
- 75.7%
- Model Prob
- 66.7%
- Market Implied
- 77.4%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +1.1
- Total Delta
- +2.1
- Home Residual
- +0.7
- Away Residual
- +2.5
- Raw Total
- 39.0
- Adjusted Total
- 42.9
Team Form & Stats
Ohio
Record 7-4 · ATS 5-5-1 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
25.1
Vegas Spread
-7
Passing Yds
147
Rushing Yds
227
Pass TDs
1.1
Rush TDs
1.8
Buffalo
Record 5-6 · ATS 3-7-1 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
17.8
Vegas Spread
+7
Passing Yds
140
Rushing Yds
181
Pass TDs
0.8
Rush TDs
1.3
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 11, 2025 |
@ Western Michigan |
L 13-17 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 4, 2025 |
vs Miami (OH) |
W 24-20 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Eastern Michigan |
W 28-21 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Northern Illinois |
W 48-21 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ Ball State |
L 14-20 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 12, 2025 |
@ Central Michigan |
L 19-38 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Bowling Green |
W 28-3 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Akron |
L 16-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Massachusetts |
W 28-21 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
vs Eastern Michigan |
W 31-30 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
18.5
Ohio -2.5
Second Half
20.4
Ohio -3.6
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 77%
Total Confidence
LOW
Model Probability: 67%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
44
Model Play Line
55.5
Model Projection
42.9
Edge
UNDER by 12.6
UNDER 67% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
20.6
Nov 28 • 3:00PM ET
OU 45.5
Model: 39.5 (u)
18.7
3-8 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 6-5
20.6
Raw: 17.6 • Adj: 20.6 • Mode: 14
-2.5
Nov 28 • 3:00PM ET
VS
O/U 45.5 Model: 39.5 (u)
2-9 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 4-7
18.7
Raw: 19.4 • Adj: 18.7 • Mode: 17
+2.5
Spread
Money
Total
Falcons
-2.5
-135
o45.5
Rams
+2.5
+114
u45.5
Model Picks
Colorado State +2.5 (-108)
(52% Cover Probability)
UNDER 45.5 (-108)
(69% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Air Force +7.5 (-484)
(74% Cover Probability)
UNDER 56.5 (-295)
(87% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Colorado State +2.5 (-108)
(52% Cover Probability)
UNDER 45.5 (-108)
(69% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Air Force +7.5 (-484)
(74% Cover Probability)
UNDER 56.5 (-295)
(87% Hit Probability)
First Half
17.0
Colorado State -0.4
Second Half
20.0
Colorado State -1.4
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/28/2025 • 3:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Air Force +7.5 (-484)
-0.6
- Model Prob
- 68.0%
- Market Implied
- 82.9%
- Model Prob
- 87.4%
- Market Implied
- 74.7%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +2.7
- Total Delta
- -1.6
- Home Residual
- -3.2
- Away Residual
- +0.9
- Raw Total
- 37.0
- Adjusted Total
- 39.3
Team Form & Stats
Air Force
Record 3-8 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
20.6
Vegas Spread
-2.5
Passing Yds
103
Rushing Yds
254
Pass TDs
0.6
Rush TDs
1.6
Colorado State
Record 2-9 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
18.7
Vegas Spread
+2.5
Passing Yds
160
Rushing Yds
203
Pass TDs
1.0
Rush TDs
1.4
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ UConn |
L 16-26 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ San José State |
W 26-16 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Army |
L 17-20 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Wyoming |
W 24-21 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ UNLV |
L 48-51 |
✓ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ New Mexico |
L 17-20 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs UNLV |
L 10-42 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Wyoming |
L 0-28 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Hawai'i |
L 19-31 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 10, 2025 |
vs Fresno State |
W 49-21 |
✓ |
o |
First Half
17.0
Colorado State -0.4
Second Half
20.0
Colorado State -1.4
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 68%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 87%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
45.5
Model Play Line
56.5
Model Projection
39.3
Edge
UNDER by 17.2
UNDER 87% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
21.9
Nov 28 • 3:30PM ET
OU 65.5
Model: 62.5 (u)
40.5
5-6 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 7-4
21.9
Raw: 17.0 • Adj: 21.9 • Mode: 14
+19.5
Nov 28 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 65.5 Model: 62.5 (u)
10-1 • ATS: 9-2 • O/U: 8-3
40.5
Raw: 25.8 • Adj: 40.5 • Mode: 24
-19.5
Spread
Money
Total
Owls
+19.5
+800
o65.5
Mean Green
-19.5
-1350
u65.5
Model Picks
Temple +19.5 (-110)
(52% Cover Probability)
UNDER 65.5 (-108)
(59% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
North Texas -9.5 (-351)
(71% Cover Probability)
UNDER 75.5 (-304)
(83% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Temple +19.5 (-110)
(52% Cover Probability)
UNDER 65.5 (-108)
(59% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
North Texas -9.5 (-351)
(71% Cover Probability)
UNDER 75.5 (-304)
(83% Hit Probability)
First Half
20.5
North Texas -3.3
Second Half
22.4
North Texas -5.4
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/28/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
North Texas -9.5 (-351)
-0.9
- Model Prob
- 71.4%
- Market Implied
- 77.8%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 75.2%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +4.6
- Total Delta
- +6.0
- Home Residual
- +11.2
- Away Residual
- +4.0
- Raw Total
- 42.8
- Adjusted Total
- 62.4
Team Form & Stats
Temple
Record 5-6 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
21.9
Vegas Spread
+19.5
Passing Yds
201
Rushing Yds
152
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
0.9
North Texas
Record 10-1 · ATS 9-2 · O/U 8-3
#22
Model Score
40.5
Vegas Spread
-19.5
Passing Yds
236
Rushing Yds
223
Pass TDs
1.9
Rush TDs
1.4
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Army |
L 13-14 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs East Carolina |
L 14-45 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Tulsa |
W 38-37 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Charlotte |
W 49-14 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Navy |
L 31-32 |
✓ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ UAB |
W 53-24 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Navy |
W 31-17 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 24, 2025 |
@ Charlotte |
W 54-20 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs UTSA |
W 55-17 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 10, 2025 |
vs South Florida |
L 36-63 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
20.5
North Texas -3.3
Second Half
22.4
North Texas -5.4
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 71%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
65.5
Model Play Line
75.5
Model Projection
62.4
Edge
UNDER by 13.1
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
20.5
Nov 28 • 3:30PM ET
OU 41
Model: 45 (o)
24.8
9-2 • ATS: 9-2 • O/U: 3-8
20.5
Raw: 17.9 • Adj: 20.5 • Mode: 14
-1.5
Nov 28 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 41 Model: 45 (o)
8-3 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 4-7
24.8
Raw: 29.7 • Adj: 24.8 • Mode: 31
+1.5
Spread
Money
Total
Aztecs
-1.5
-120
o41
Lobos
+1.5
+100
u41
Model Picks
San Diego State -1.5 (-115)
(37% Cover Probability)
OVER 41 (-112)
(62% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
New Mexico +11.5 (-620)
(82% Cover Probability)
OVER 31.5 (-356)
(87% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
San Diego State -1.5 (-115)
(37% Cover Probability)
OVER 41 (-112)
(62% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
New Mexico +11.5 (-620)
(82% Cover Probability)
OVER 31.5 (-356)
(87% Hit Probability)
First Half
22.2
New Mexico -5.0
Second Half
25.4
New Mexico -6.8
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · New Mexico +11.5 (-620) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/28/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
New Mexico +11.5 (-620)
-2.8
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 86.1%
- Model Prob
- 78.1%
- Market Implied
- 78.1%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +1.5
- Total Delta
- +0.3
- Home Residual
- -0.9
- Away Residual
- +1.3
- Raw Total
- 47.6
- Adjusted Total
- 45.2
Team Form & Stats
San Diego State
Record 9-2 · ATS 9-2 · O/U 3-8
Model Score
20.5
Vegas Spread
-1.5
Passing Yds
191
Rushing Yds
192
Pass TDs
1.0
Rush TDs
1.0
New Mexico
Record 8-3 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
24.8
Vegas Spread
+1.5
Passing Yds
173
Rushing Yds
296
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
2.2
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Boise State |
W 17-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Hawai'i |
L 6-38 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Wyoming |
W 24-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Fresno State |
W 23-0 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Nevada |
W 44-10 |
✓ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Colorado State |
W 20-17 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ UNLV |
W 40-35 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Utah State |
W 33-14 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Nevada |
W 24-22 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Boise State |
L 25-41 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
22.2
New Mexico -5.0
Second Half
25.4
New Mexico -6.8
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 78%
Recommended Bets
TOTAL
OVER 31.5 (-356)
78%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
41
Model Play Line
31.5
Model Projection
45.2
Edge
OVER by 13.7
OVER 78% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
31.2
Nov 28 • 3:30PM ET
OU 59.5
Model: 57.5 (u)
26.5
10-1 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 4-7
31.2
Raw: 22.7 • Adj: 31.2 • Mode: 21
-13.5
Nov 28 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 59.5 Model: 57.5 (u)
9-2 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 7-4
26.5
Raw: 22.2 • Adj: 26.5 • Mode: 24
+13.5
Spread
Money
Total
Bulldogs
-13.5
-625
o59.5
Yellow Jackets
+13.5
+455
u59.5
Model Picks
Georgia Tech +13.5 (-112)
(70% Cover Probability)
UNDER 59.5 (-110)
(56% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Georgia Tech +23 (-313)
(86% Cover Probability)
UNDER 69.5 (-351)
(81% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Georgia Tech +13.5 (-112)
(70% Cover Probability)
UNDER 59.5 (-110)
(56% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Georgia Tech +23 (-313)
(86% Cover Probability)
UNDER 69.5 (-351)
(81% Hit Probability)
First Half
20.6
Georgia Tech -0.4
Second Half
24.3
Georgia -0.9
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · Georgia Tech +23 (-313) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/28/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Georgia Tech +23 (-313)
+8.7
- Model Prob
- 77.4%
- Market Implied
- 75.8%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 77.8%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -1.5
- Total Delta
- +4.0
- Home Residual
- +4.3
- Away Residual
- +1.9
- Raw Total
- 45.0
- Adjusted Total
- 57.7
Team Form & Stats
Georgia
Record 10-1 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 4-7
#4
Model Score
31.2
Vegas Spread
-13.5
Passing Yds
198
Rushing Yds
203
Pass TDs
1.6
Rush TDs
1.3
Georgia Tech
Record 9-2 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 7-4
#15
Model Score
26.5
Vegas Spread
+13.5
Passing Yds
164
Rushing Yds
226
Pass TDs
1.3
Rush TDs
1.4
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Texas |
W 35-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Mississippi State |
W 41-21 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Florida |
W 24-20 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Ole Miss |
W 43-35 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Auburn |
W 20-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Boston College |
W 36-34 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ NC State |
L 36-48 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Syracuse |
W 41-16 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Duke |
W 27-18 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Virginia Tech |
W 35-20 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
20.6
Georgia Tech -0.4
Second Half
24.3
Georgia -0.9
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 77%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
Georgia Tech +23 (-313)
77%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
59.5
Model Play Line
69.5
Model Projection
57.7
Edge
UNDER by 11.8
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
28.0
Nov 28 • 4:00PM ET
OU 56
Model: 53.5 (u)
25.5
7-4 • ATS: 8-3 • O/U: 6-5
28.0
Raw: 27.5 • Adj: 28.0 • Mode: 38
-3.5
Nov 28 • 4:00PM ET
VS
O/U 56 Model: 53.5 (u)
6-5 • ATS: 9-2 • O/U: 5-6
25.5
Raw: 24.5 • Adj: 25.5 • Mode: 14
+3.5
Spread
Money
Total
Broncos
-3.5
-162
o56
Aggies
+3.5
+136
u56
Model Picks
Utah State +3.5 (-105)
(52% Cover Probability)
UNDER 56 (-108)
(57% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Utah State +13.5 (-481)
(72% Cover Probability)
UNDER 65.5 (-270)
(85% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Utah State +3.5 (-105)
(52% Cover Probability)
UNDER 56 (-108)
(57% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Utah State +13.5 (-481)
(72% Cover Probability)
UNDER 65.5 (-270)
(85% Hit Probability)
First Half
25.1
Boise State -0.1
Second Half
26.9
Boise State -2.9
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/28/2025 • 4:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Utah State +13.5 (-481)
+1.0
- Model Prob
- 72.5%
- Market Implied
- 82.8%
- Model Prob
- 78.1%
- Market Implied
- 73.0%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -0.6
- Total Delta
- +0.2
- Home Residual
- +0.6
- Away Residual
- -0.3
- Raw Total
- 52.0
- Adjusted Total
- 53.5
Team Form & Stats
Boise State
Record 7-4 · ATS 8-3 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
28.0
Vegas Spread
-3.5
Passing Yds
188
Rushing Yds
263
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
2.0
Utah State
Record 6-5 · ATS 9-2 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
25.5
Vegas Spread
+3.5
Passing Yds
211
Rushing Yds
243
Pass TDs
1.6
Rush TDs
1.5
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ San Diego State |
L 7-17 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Fresno State |
L 7-30 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 24, 2025 |
@ Nevada |
W 24-3 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs UNLV |
W 56-31 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs New Mexico |
W 41-25 |
✓ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ UNLV |
L 26-29 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Nevada |
W 51-14 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ New Mexico |
L 14-33 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 17, 2025 |
vs San José State |
W 30-25 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Hawai'i |
L 26-44 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
25.1
Boise State -0.1
Second Half
26.9
Boise State -2.9
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 72%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 78%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
56
Model Play Line
65.5
Model Projection
53.5
Edge
UNDER by 12.0
UNDER 78% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
28.2
Nov 28 • 7:30PM ET
OU 51.5
Model: 53.5 (o)
25.5
11-0 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 8-3
28.2
Raw: 23.6 • Adj: 28.2 • Mode: 24
-2
Nov 28 • 7:30PM ET
VS
O/U 51.5 Model: 53.5 (o)
8-3 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 5-6
25.5
Raw: 21.7 • Adj: 25.5 • Mode: 17
+2
Spread
Money
Total
Aggies
-2
-135
o51.5
Longhorns
+2
+114
u51.5
Model Picks
Texas A&M -2 (-118)
(52% Cover Probability)
OVER 51.5 (-108)
(57% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Texas A&M +8 (-427)
(72% Cover Probability)
OVER 44.5 (-255)
(89% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Texas A&M -2 (-118)
(52% Cover Probability)
OVER 51.5 (-108)
(57% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Texas A&M +8 (-427)
(72% Cover Probability)
OVER 44.5 (-255)
(89% Hit Probability)
First Half
21.2
Texas A&M -0.4
Second Half
24.1
Texas A&M -1.5
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/28/2025 • 7:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Texas A&M +8 (-427)
+0.8
- Model Prob
- 68.0%
- Market Implied
- 81.0%
- Model Prob
- 73.1%
- Market Implied
- 71.8%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +0.9
- Total Delta
- +6.0
- Home Residual
- +5.0
- Away Residual
- +6.4
- Raw Total
- 45.3
- Adjusted Total
- 53.7
Team Form & Stats
Texas A&M
Record 11-0 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 8-3
#3
Model Score
28.2
Vegas Spread
-2
Passing Yds
170
Rushing Yds
235
Pass TDs
1.4
Rush TDs
1.5
Texas
Record 8-3 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 5-6
#17
Model Score
25.5
Vegas Spread
+2
Passing Yds
248
Rushing Yds
188
Pass TDs
1.4
Rush TDs
1.2
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs South Carolina |
W 31-30 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Missouri |
W 38-17 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ LSU |
W 49-25 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Arkansas |
W 45-42 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Florida |
W 34-17 |
✓ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Georgia |
L 10-35 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Vanderbilt |
W 34-31 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Mississippi State |
W 45-38 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Kentucky |
W 16-13 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Oklahoma |
W 23-6 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
21.2
Texas A&M -0.4
Second Half
24.1
Texas A&M -1.5
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 68%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 73%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
51.5
Model Play Line
44.5
Model Projection
53.7
Edge
OVER by 9.2
OVER 73% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
37.7
Nov 28 • 7:30PM ET
OU 54.5
Model: 51 (u)
13.1
11-0 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 7-4
37.7
Raw: 25.5 • Adj: 37.7 • Mode: 21
-28.5
Nov 28 • 7:30PM ET
VS
O/U 54.5 Model: 51 (u)
2-9 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 3-8
13.1
Raw: 16.9 • Adj: 13.1 • Mode: 24
+28.5
Spread
Money
Total
Hoosiers
-28.5
-4000
o54.5
Boilermakers
+28.5
+1600
u54.5
Model Picks
Purdue +28.5 (-112)
(60% Cover Probability)
UNDER 54.5 (-110)
(61% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Purdue +38.5 (-347)
(80% Cover Probability)
UNDER 62.5 (-332)
(88% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Purdue +28.5 (-112)
(60% Cover Probability)
UNDER 54.5 (-110)
(61% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Purdue +38.5 (-347)
(80% Cover Probability)
UNDER 62.5 (-332)
(88% Hit Probability)
First Half
19.6
Indiana -2.4
Second Half
22.8
Indiana -6.2
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/28/2025 • 7:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Purdue +38.5 (-347)
+4.0
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 77.6%
- Model Prob
- 75.5%
- Market Implied
- 76.9%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +6.0
- Total Delta
- +1.9
- Home Residual
- -3.4
- Away Residual
- +6.3
- Raw Total
- 42.4
- Adjusted Total
- 50.8
Team Form & Stats
Indiana
Record 11-0 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 7-4
#2
Model Score
37.7
Vegas Spread
-28.5
Passing Yds
193
Rushing Yds
195
Pass TDs
1.6
Rush TDs
1.7
Purdue
Record 2-9 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 3-8
Model Score
13.1
Vegas Spread
+28.5
Passing Yds
194
Rushing Yds
156
Pass TDs
1.1
Rush TDs
0.8
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Wisconsin |
W 31-7 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Penn State |
W 27-24 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Maryland |
W 55-10 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs UCLA |
W 56-6 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Michigan State |
W 38-13 |
✗ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Washington |
L 13-49 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Ohio State |
L 10-34 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Michigan |
L 16-21 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Rutgers |
L 24-27 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Northwestern |
L 0-19 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
19.6
Indiana -2.4
Second Half
22.8
Indiana -6.2
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 75%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
54.5
Model Play Line
62.5
Model Projection
50.8
Edge
UNDER by 11.7
UNDER 75% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
25.9
Nov 28 • 9:00PM ET
OU 48.5
Model: 50 (o)
24.1
8-3 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 4-7
25.9
Raw: 16.7 • Adj: 25.9 • Mode: 10
-1.5
Nov 28 • 9:00PM ET
VS
O/U 48.5 Model: 50 (o)
8-3 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 4-7
24.1
Raw: 23.7 • Adj: 24.1 • Mode: 31
+1.5
Spread
Money
Total
Wildcats
-1.5
-122
o48.5
Sun Devils
+1.5
+102
u48.5
Model Picks
Arizona -1.5 (-110)
(51% Cover Probability)
OVER 48.5 (-115)
(55% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Arizona +8.5 (-392)
(73% Cover Probability)
OVER 37.5 (-322)
(72% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Arizona -1.5 (-110)
(51% Cover Probability)
OVER 48.5 (-115)
(55% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Arizona +8.5 (-392)
(73% Cover Probability)
OVER 37.5 (-322)
(72% Hit Probability)
First Half
18.6
Arizona State -2.4
Second Half
21.9
Arizona State -4.7
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/28/2025 • 9:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Arizona +8.5 (-392)
+0.3
- Model Prob
- 72.7%
- Market Implied
- 79.7%
- Model Prob
- 71.8%
- Market Implied
- 76.3%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +6.0
- Total Delta
- +6.0
- Home Residual
- -0.4
- Away Residual
- +9.3
- Raw Total
- 40.5
- Adjusted Total
- 50.0
Team Form & Stats
Arizona
Record 8-3 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
25.9
Vegas Spread
-1.5
Passing Yds
180
Rushing Yds
168
Pass TDs
1.0
Rush TDs
0.9
Arizona State
Record 8-3 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
24.1
Vegas Spread
+1.5
Passing Yds
207
Rushing Yds
211
Pass TDs
1.4
Rush TDs
1.6
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Cincinnati |
W 30-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Kansas |
W 24-20 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Colorado |
W 52-17 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Houston |
L 28-31 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs BYU |
L 27-33 |
✗ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs West Virginia |
W 25-23 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Iowa State |
W 24-19 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Houston |
L 16-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Texas Tech |
W 26-22 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Utah |
L 10-42 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
18.6
Arizona State -2.4
Second Half
21.9
Arizona State -4.7
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 73%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 72%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
48.5
Model Play Line
37.5
Model Projection
50.0
Edge
OVER by 12.5
OVER 72% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
17.6
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
OU 46.5
Model: 41.5 (u)
23.7
5-6 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 7-4
17.6
Raw: 13.6 • Adj: 17.6 • Mode: 7
+3
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 46.5 Model: 41.5 (u)
7-4 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 5-6
23.7
Raw: 27.7 • Adj: 23.7 • Mode: 31
-3
Spread
Money
Total
Wildcats
+3
+124
o46.5
Cardinals
-3
-148
u46.5
Model Picks
Louisville -3 (-105)
(57% Cover Probability)
UNDER 46.5 (-108)
(66% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Louisville +6.5 (-425)
(77% Cover Probability)
UNDER 54.5 (-266)
(89% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Louisville -3 (-105)
(57% Cover Probability)
UNDER 46.5 (-108)
(66% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Louisville +6.5 (-425)
(77% Cover Probability)
UNDER 54.5 (-266)
(89% Hit Probability)
First Half
19.1
Louisville -6.1
Second Half
22.1
Louisville -8.1
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: MEDIUM · Total: LEAN
Spread
Louisville +6.5 (-425)
+3.1
- Model Prob
- 64.2%
- Market Implied
- 81.0%
- Model Prob
- 75.5%
- Market Implied
- 72.7%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -3.6
- Total Delta
- -1.9
- Home Residual
- -4.2
- Away Residual
- +1.3
- Raw Total
- 41.2
- Adjusted Total
- 41.3
Team Form & Stats
Kentucky
Record 5-6 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
17.6
Vegas Spread
+3
Passing Yds
148
Rushing Yds
186
Pass TDs
0.7
Rush TDs
0.9
Louisville
Record 7-4 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
23.7
Vegas Spread
-3
Passing Yds
178
Rushing Yds
242
Pass TDs
1.6
Rush TDs
1.7
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Florida |
W 38-7 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Auburn |
W 10-3 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Tennessee |
L 34-56 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Texas |
L 13-16 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ Georgia |
L 14-35 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 14, 2025 |
vs Clemson |
L 19-20 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs California |
L 26-29 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Virginia Tech |
W 28-16 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Boston College |
W 38-24 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 17, 2025 |
@ Miami |
W 24-21 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
19.1
Louisville -6.1
Second Half
22.1
Louisville -8.1
Spread Confidence
MEDIUM
Model Probability: 64%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 75%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
46.5
Model Play Line
54.5
Model Projection
41.3
Edge
UNDER by 13.2
UNDER 75% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
11.0
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
OU 41.5
Model: 36 (u)
24.7
4-7 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 4-7
11.0
Raw: 18.7 • Adj: 11.0 • Mode: 17
+17.5
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 41.5 Model: 36 (u)
6-5 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 6-5
24.7
Raw: 17.6 • Adj: 24.7 • Mode: 14
-17.5
Spread
Money
Total
Cardinals
+17.5
+650
o41.5
RedHawks
-17.5
-1000
u41.5
Model Picks
Ball State +17.5 (-110)
(59% Cover Probability)
UNDER 41.5 (-108)
(68% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Ball State +27.5 (-431)
(80% Cover Probability)
UNDER 51.5 (-368)
(89% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Ball State +17.5 (-110)
(59% Cover Probability)
UNDER 41.5 (-108)
(68% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Ball State +27.5 (-431)
(80% Cover Probability)
UNDER 51.5 (-368)
(89% Hit Probability)
First Half
17.1
Ball State -0.7
Second Half
19.1
Ball State -0.5
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Ball State +27.5 (-431)
+3.8
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 81.2%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 78.6%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +5.5
- Total Delta
- -2.4
- Home Residual
- +2.4
- Away Residual
- -6.3
- Raw Total
- 36.3
- Adjusted Total
- 35.8
Team Form & Stats
Ball State
Record 4-7 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
11.0
Vegas Spread
+17.5
Passing Yds
194
Rushing Yds
161
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
1.0
Miami (OH)
Record 6-5 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
24.7
Vegas Spread
-17.5
Passing Yds
205
Rushing Yds
167
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
1.0
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Eastern Michigan |
L 9-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 5, 2025 |
vs Kent State |
W 17-13 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Northern Illinois |
L 7-21 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Akron |
W 42-28 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Western Michigan |
L 0-42 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 12, 2025 |
vs Toledo |
L 3-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 4, 2025 |
@ Ohio |
L 20-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Western Michigan |
W 26-17 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Eastern Michigan |
W 44-30 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Akron |
W 20-7 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
17.1
Ball State -0.7
Second Half
19.1
Ball State -0.5
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
41.5
Model Play Line
51.5
Model Projection
35.8
Edge
UNDER by 15.7
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
33.3
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
OU 65.5
Model: 64.5 (u)
31.0
7-4 • ATS: 6-4-1 • O/U: 6-5
33.3
Raw: 24.3 • Adj: 33.3 • Mode: 25
-7
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 65.5 Model: 64.5 (u)
4-7 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 7-4
31.0
Raw: 24.4 • Adj: 31.0 • Mode: 24
+7
Spread
Money
Total
Pirates
-7
-250
o65.5
Owls
+7
+205
u65.5
Model Picks
Florida Atlantic +7 (-112)
(60% Cover Probability)
UNDER 65.5 (-110)
(53% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Florida Atlantic +16.5 (-287)
(78% Cover Probability)
UNDER 76.5 (-313)
(68% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Florida Atlantic +7 (-112)
(60% Cover Probability)
UNDER 65.5 (-110)
(53% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Florida Atlantic +16.5 (-287)
(78% Cover Probability)
UNDER 76.5 (-313)
(68% Hit Probability)
First Half
22.6
Florida Atlantic -1.2
Second Half
26.1
East Carolina -1.1
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · Florida Atlantic +16.5 (-287) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Florida Atlantic +16.5 (-287)
+4.7
- Model Prob
- 77.4%
- Market Implied
- 74.2%
- Model Prob
- 67.8%
- Market Implied
- 75.8%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +0.2
- Total Delta
- +5.6
- Home Residual
- +4.2
- Away Residual
- +4.6
- Raw Total
- 48.6
- Adjusted Total
- 64.3
Team Form & Stats
East Carolina
Record 7-4 · ATS 6-4-1 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
33.3
Vegas Spread
-7
Passing Yds
238
Rushing Yds
219
Pass TDs
1.6
Rush TDs
1.4
Florida Atlantic
Record 4-7 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
31.0
Vegas Spread
+7
Passing Yds
206
Rushing Yds
246
Pass TDs
1.6
Rush TDs
1.4
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Memphis |
W 31-27 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Charlotte |
W 48-22 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Temple |
W 45-14 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 16, 2025 |
vs Tulsa |
W 41-27 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
@ Tulane |
L 19-26 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Tulane |
L 24-35 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Navy |
L 32-42 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ South Florida |
L 13-48 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs UAB |
W 53-33 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ Rice |
W 27-21 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
22.6
Florida Atlantic -1.2
Second Half
26.1
East Carolina -1.1
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 77%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 68%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
Florida Atlantic +16.5 (-287)
77%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
65.5
Model Play Line
76.5
Model Projection
64.3
Edge
UNDER by 12.2
UNDER 68% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
34.7
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
OU 53.5
Model: 55.5 (o)
20.7
10-1 • ATS: 9-2 • O/U: 5-6
34.7
Raw: 21.6 • Adj: 34.7 • Mode: 24
-23.5
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 53.5 Model: 55.5 (o)
4-7 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 6-5
20.7
Raw: 24.8 • Adj: 20.7 • Mode: 21
+23.5
Spread
Money
Total
Red Raiders
-23.5
-2100
o53.5
Mountaineers
+23.5
+1100
u53.5
Model Picks
West Virginia +23.5 (-110)
(73% Cover Probability)
OVER 53.5 (-112)
(55% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
West Virginia +33.5 (-365)
(88% Cover Probability)
OVER 42.5 (-368)
(73% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
West Virginia +23.5 (-110)
(73% Cover Probability)
OVER 53.5 (-112)
(55% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
West Virginia +33.5 (-365)
(88% Cover Probability)
OVER 42.5 (-368)
(73% Hit Probability)
First Half
21.8
West Virginia -1.0
Second Half
24.6
West Virginia -2.2
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · West Virginia +33.5 (-365) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
West Virginia +33.5 (-365)
+9.6
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 78.5%
- Model Prob
- 72.6%
- Market Implied
- 78.6%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +3.8
- Total Delta
- +6.0
- Home Residual
- +2.2
- Away Residual
- +8.2
- Raw Total
- 46.4
- Adjusted Total
- 55.4
Team Form & Stats
Texas Tech
Record 10-1 · ATS 9-2 · O/U 5-6
#6
Model Score
34.7
Vegas Spread
-23.5
Passing Yds
209
Rushing Yds
183
Pass TDs
1.4
Rush TDs
1.2
West Virginia
Record 4-7 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
20.7
Vegas Spread
+23.5
Passing Yds
166
Rushing Yds
278
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
1.7
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs UCF |
W 48-9 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs BYU |
W 29-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Kansas State |
W 43-20 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Oklahoma State |
W 42-0 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Arizona State |
L 22-26 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Arizona State |
L 23-25 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Colorado |
W 29-22 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Houston |
W 45-35 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs TCU |
L 17-23 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ UCF |
L 13-45 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
21.8
West Virginia -1.0
Second Half
24.6
West Virginia -2.2
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 73%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
West Virginia +33.5 (-365)
78%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
53.5
Model Play Line
42.5
Model Projection
55.4
Edge
OVER by 12.9
OVER 73% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
25.9
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
OU 46.5
Model: 49.5 (o)
23.5
6-5 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 4-7
25.9
Raw: 21.9 • Adj: 25.9 • Mode: 18
+2.5
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 46.5 Model: 49.5 (o)
4-7 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 5-6
23.5
Raw: 21.2 • Adj: 23.5 • Mode: 17
-2.5
Spread
Money
Total
Tigers
+2.5
+124
o46.5
Gamecocks
-2.5
-148
u46.5
Model Picks
Clemson +2.5 (-118)
(62% Cover Probability)
OVER 46.5 (-115)
(59% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Clemson +12 (-429)
(81% Cover Probability)
OVER 36.5 (-374)
(83% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Clemson +2.5 (-118)
(62% Cover Probability)
OVER 46.5 (-115)
(59% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Clemson +12 (-429)
(81% Cover Probability)
OVER 36.5 (-374)
(83% Hit Probability)
First Half
20.9
Clemson -0.5
Second Half
22.1
Clemson -0.3
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · Clemson +12 (-429) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Clemson +12 (-429)
+0.2
- Model Prob
- 77.4%
- Market Implied
- 81.1%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 78.9%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -2.2
- Total Delta
- +5.2
- Home Residual
- +2.4
- Away Residual
- +6.2
- Raw Total
- 43.1
- Adjusted Total
- 49.4
Team Form & Stats
Clemson
Record 6-5 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
25.9
Vegas Spread
+2.5
Passing Yds
218
Rushing Yds
207
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
1.2
South Carolina
Record 4-7 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
23.5
Vegas Spread
-2.5
Passing Yds
198
Rushing Yds
210
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
1.4
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 14, 2025 |
@ Louisville |
W 20-19 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Florida State |
W 24-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Duke |
L 45-46 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs SMU |
L 24-35 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Boston College |
W 41-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Texas A&M |
L 30-31 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Ole Miss |
L 14-30 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Alabama |
L 22-29 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Oklahoma |
L 7-26 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ LSU |
L 10-20 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
20.9
Clemson -0.5
Second Half
22.1
Clemson -0.3
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 77%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
Clemson +12 (-429)
77%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
46.5
Model Play Line
36.5
Model Projection
49.4
Edge
OVER by 12.9
OVER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
26.7
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
OU 45.5
Model: 40 (u)
13.5
7-4 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 4-6
26.7
Raw: 23.8 • Adj: 26.7 • Mode: 24
-14
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 45.5 Model: 40 (u)
1-10 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 5-6
13.5
Raw: 18.9 • Adj: 13.5 • Mode: 21
+14
Spread
Money
Total
Cyclones
-14
-535
o45.5
Cowboys
+14
+400
u45.5
Model Picks
Oklahoma State +14 (-112)
(52% Cover Probability)
UNDER 45.5 (-110)
(65% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Oklahoma State +24 (-393)
(73% Cover Probability)
UNDER 56.5 (-371)
(84% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Oklahoma State +14 (-112)
(52% Cover Probability)
UNDER 45.5 (-110)
(65% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Oklahoma State +24 (-393)
(73% Cover Probability)
UNDER 56.5 (-371)
(84% Hit Probability)
First Half
19.7
Iowa State -2.9
Second Half
22.9
Iowa State -2.1
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Oklahoma State +24 (-393)
+0.7
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 79.7%
- Model Prob
- 83.6%
- Market Implied
- 78.8%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +4.3
- Total Delta
- -3.3
- Home Residual
- -5.7
- Away Residual
- +0.8
- Raw Total
- 42.6
- Adjusted Total
- 40.2
Team Form & Stats
Iowa State
Record 7-4 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 4-6
Model Score
26.7
Vegas Spread
-14
Passing Yds
201
Rushing Yds
218
Pass TDs
1.4
Rush TDs
1.5
Oklahoma State
Record 1-10 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
13.5
Vegas Spread
+14
Passing Yds
219
Rushing Yds
194
Pass TDs
1.4
Rush TDs
1.2
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ TCU |
W 20-17 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Arizona State |
L 19-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs BYU |
L 27-41 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Colorado |
L 17-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ Cincinnati |
L 30-38 |
✗ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Kansas State |
L 6-14 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Kansas |
L 21-38 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Texas Tech |
L 0-42 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Cincinnati |
L 17-49 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Houston |
L 17-39 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
19.7
Iowa State -2.9
Second Half
22.9
Iowa State -2.1
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 84%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
45.5
Model Play Line
56.5
Model Projection
40.2
Edge
UNDER by 16.3
UNDER 84% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
25.6
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
OU 44.5
Model: 48.5 (o)
22.9
7-4 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 6-5
25.6
Raw: 19.9 • Adj: 25.6 • Mode: 17
-10
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 44.5 Model: 48.5 (o)
7-4 • ATS: 8-3 • O/U: 7-4
22.9
Raw: 22.0 • Adj: 22.9 • Mode: 24
+10
Spread
Money
Total
Rockets
-10
-440
o44.5
Chippewas
+10
+340
u44.5
Model Picks
Central Michigan +10 (-115)
(67% Cover Probability)
OVER 44.5 (-110)
(62% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Central Michigan +18 (-278)
(84% Cover Probability)
OVER 34.5 (-451)
(85% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Central Michigan +10 (-115)
(67% Cover Probability)
OVER 44.5 (-110)
(62% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Central Michigan +18 (-278)
(84% Cover Probability)
OVER 34.5 (-451)
(85% Hit Probability)
First Half
19.6
Central Michigan -0.6
Second Half
22.2
Central Michigan -1.6
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · Central Michigan +18 (-278) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Central Michigan +18 (-278)
+7.3
- Model Prob
- 75.0%
- Market Implied
- 73.5%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 81.9%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -0.3
- Total Delta
- +5.8
- Home Residual
- +4.8
- Away Residual
- +4.3
- Raw Total
- 41.9
- Adjusted Total
- 48.5
Team Form & Stats
Toledo
Record 7-4 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
25.6
Vegas Spread
-10
Passing Yds
214
Rushing Yds
180
Pass TDs
1.3
Rush TDs
1.2
Central Michigan
Record 7-4 · ATS 8-3 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
22.9
Vegas Spread
+10
Passing Yds
190
Rushing Yds
233
Pass TDs
1.1
Rush TDs
1.6
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 12, 2025 |
@ Miami (OH) |
W 24-3 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 5, 2025 |
vs Northern Illinois |
W 42-3 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Washington State |
L 7-28 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Kent State |
W 45-10 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Bowling Green |
L 23-28 |
✗ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 12, 2025 |
vs Buffalo |
W 38-19 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Western Michigan |
L 21-24 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Massachusetts |
W 38-13 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Bowling Green |
W 27-6 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ Akron |
L 22-28 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
19.6
Central Michigan -0.6
Second Half
22.2
Central Michigan -1.6
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 75%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
Recommended Bets
TOTAL
OVER 34.5 (-451)
79%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
44.5
Model Play Line
34.5
Model Projection
48.5
Edge
OVER by 14.0
OVER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
14.4
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
OU 49.5
Model: 46.5 (u)
31.8
3-8 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 5-6
14.4
Raw: 18.4 • Adj: 14.4 • Mode: 14
+17
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 49.5 Model: 46.5 (u)
5-6 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 7-4
31.8
Raw: 24.1 • Adj: 31.8 • Mode: 24
-17
Spread
Money
Total
Buffaloes
+17
+600
o49.5
Wildcats
-17
-900
u49.5
Model Picks
Kansas State -17 (-118)
(51% Cover Probability)
UNDER 49.5 (-112)
(60% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Kansas State -8 (-306)
(74% Cover Probability)
UNDER 60.5 (-345)
(79% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Kansas State -17 (-118)
(51% Cover Probability)
UNDER 49.5 (-112)
(60% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Kansas State -8 (-306)
(74% Cover Probability)
UNDER 60.5 (-345)
(79% Hit Probability)
First Half
19.4
Kansas State -2.6
Second Half
23.1
Kansas State -3.1
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Kansas State -8 (-306)
+0.4
- Model Prob
- 76.1%
- Market Implied
- 75.4%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 77.5%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +6.0
- Total Delta
- +0.9
- Home Residual
- +5.7
- Away Residual
- -4.4
- Raw Total
- 42.5
- Adjusted Total
- 46.3
Team Form & Stats
Colorado
Record 3-8 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
14.4
Vegas Spread
+17
Passing Yds
197
Rushing Yds
162
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
1.0
Kansas State
Record 5-6 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
31.8
Vegas Spread
-17
Passing Yds
228
Rushing Yds
213
Pass TDs
1.6
Rush TDs
1.5
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ West Virginia |
L 22-29 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Arizona |
L 17-52 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Utah |
L 7-53 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Iowa State |
W 24-17 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ TCU |
L 21-35 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Oklahoma State |
W 14-6 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Texas Tech |
L 20-43 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Kansas |
W 42-17 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs TCU |
W 41-28 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ Baylor |
L 34-35 |
✓ |
o |
First Half
19.4
Kansas State -2.6
Second Half
23.1
Kansas State -3.1
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 76%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
49.5
Model Play Line
60.5
Model Projection
46.3
Edge
UNDER by 14.2
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
21.6
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
OU 59.5
Model: 55.5 (u)
34.1
8-3 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 7-4
21.6
Raw: 10.9 • Adj: 21.6 • Mode: 7
+2.5
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 59.5 Model: 55.5 (u)
5-6 • ATS: 2-9 • O/U: 6-5
34.1
Raw: 45.4 • Adj: 34.1 • Mode: 45
-2.5
Spread
Money
Total
Cougars
+2.5
+124
o59.5
Bears
-2.5
-148
u59.5
Model Picks
Baylor -2.5 (-105)
(70% Cover Probability)
UNDER 59.5 (-108)
(60% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Baylor +7.5 (-337)
(84% Cover Probability)
UNDER 68.5 (-308)
(85% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Baylor -2.5 (-105)
(70% Cover Probability)
UNDER 59.5 (-108)
(60% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Baylor +7.5 (-337)
(84% Cover Probability)
UNDER 68.5 (-308)
(85% Hit Probability)
First Half
27.6
Baylor -17.4
Second Half
28.7
Baylor -17.1
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · Baylor +7.5 (-337) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Baylor +7.5 (-337)
+10.0
- Model Prob
- 66.5%
- Market Implied
- 77.1%
- Model Prob
- 77.2%
- Market Implied
- 75.5%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -6.0
- Total Delta
- -1.7
- Home Residual
- -7.7
- Away Residual
- +4.8
- Raw Total
- 56.3
- Adjusted Total
- 55.6
Team Form & Stats
Houston
Record 8-3 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 7-4
#25
Model Score
21.6
Vegas Spread
+2.5
Passing Yds
196
Rushing Yds
173
Pass TDs
0.7
Rush TDs
0.6
Baylor
Record 5-6 · ATS 2-9 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
34.1
Vegas Spread
-2.5
Passing Yds
162
Rushing Yds
135
Pass TDs
2.6
Rush TDs
3.1
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 7, 2025 |
@ UCF |
W 30-27 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs West Virginia |
L 35-45 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Arizona State |
W 24-16 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Arizona |
W 31-28 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Oklahoma State |
W 39-17 |
✓ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Utah |
L 28-55 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs UCF |
W 30-3 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Cincinnati |
L 20-41 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ TCU |
L 36-42 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
vs Kansas State |
W 35-34 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
27.6
Baylor -17.4
Second Half
28.7
Baylor -17.1
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 66%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 77%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
Baylor +7.5 (-337)
66%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
59.5
Model Play Line
68.5
Model Projection
55.6
Edge
UNDER by 12.9
UNDER 77% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
29.5
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
OU 51
Model: 56.5 (o)
27.1
9-2 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 4-7
29.5
Raw: 29.7 • Adj: 29.5 • Mode: 31
-6.5
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 51 Model: 56.5 (o)
8-3 • ATS: 8-3 • O/U: 9-2
27.1
Raw: 22.8 • Adj: 27.1 • Mode: 17
+6.5
Spread
Money
Total
Hurricanes
-6.5
-258
o51
Panthers
+6.5
+210
u51
Model Picks
Pittsburgh +6.5 (-110)
(60% Cover Probability)
OVER 51 (-105)
(66% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Pittsburgh +16 (-309)
(80% Cover Probability)
OVER 39.5 (-330)
(83% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Pittsburgh +6.5 (-110)
(60% Cover Probability)
OVER 51 (-105)
(66% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Pittsburgh +16 (-309)
(80% Cover Probability)
OVER 39.5 (-330)
(83% Hit Probability)
First Half
24.5
Miami -3.5
Second Half
27.9
Miami -3.3
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Total · OVER 39.5 (-330) · CONFIDENT
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Pittsburgh +16 (-309)
+4.1
- Model Prob
- 77.4%
- Market Implied
- 75.6%
- Model Prob
- 82.7%
- Market Implied
- 76.7%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -4.4
- Total Delta
- +4.5
- Home Residual
- +6.7
- Away Residual
- +0.1
- Raw Total
- 52.5
- Adjusted Total
- 56.6
Team Form & Stats
Miami
Record 9-2 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 4-7
#14
Model Score
29.5
Vegas Spread
-6.5
Passing Yds
294
Rushing Yds
178
Pass TDs
2.2
Rush TDs
1.5
Pittsburgh
Record 8-3 · ATS 8-3 · O/U 9-2
Model Score
27.1
Vegas Spread
+6.5
Passing Yds
256
Rushing Yds
151
Pass TDs
1.7
Rush TDs
0.9
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs NC State |
W 41-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Syracuse |
W 38-10 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ SMU |
L 20-26 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Stanford |
W 42-7 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 17, 2025 |
vs Louisville |
L 21-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Notre Dame |
L 15-37 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Stanford |
W 35-20 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs NC State |
W 53-34 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Syracuse |
W 30-13 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Florida State |
W 34-31 |
✓ |
o |
First Half
24.5
Miami -3.5
Second Half
27.9
Miami -3.3
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 77%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 83%
Recommended Bets
TOTAL
OVER 39.5 (-330)
83%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
51
Model Play Line
39.5
Model Projection
56.6
Edge
OVER by 17.1
OVER 83% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
28.2
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
OU 44.5
Model: 47.5 (o)
19.3
11-0 • ATS: 9-1-1 • O/U: 4-7
28.2
Raw: 23.8 • Adj: 28.2 • Mode: 22
-10
Nov 29 • 12:00PM ET
VS
O/U 44.5 Model: 47.5 (o)
9-2 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 5-6
19.3
Raw: 20.1 • Adj: 19.3 • Mode: 21
+10
Spread
Money
Total
Buckeyes
-10
-410
o44.5
Wolverines
+10
+320
u44.5
Model Picks
Michigan +10 (-108)
(53% Cover Probability)
OVER 44.5 (-115)
(59% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Michigan +20 (-359)
(75% Cover Probability)
OVER 33.5 (-414)
(79% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Michigan +10 (-108)
(53% Cover Probability)
OVER 44.5 (-115)
(59% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Michigan +20 (-359)
(75% Cover Probability)
OVER 33.5 (-414)
(79% Hit Probability)
First Half
20.5
Ohio State -1.1
Second Half
23.5
Ohio State -2.7
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 12:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Michigan +20 (-359)
+1.1
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 78.2%
- Model Prob
- 79.1%
- Market Implied
- 80.5%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +3.4
- Total Delta
- +3.5
- Home Residual
- +0.0
- Away Residual
- +5.1
- Raw Total
- 43.9
- Adjusted Total
- 47.5
Team Form & Stats
Ohio State
Record 11-0 · ATS 9-1-1 · O/U 4-7
#1
Model Score
28.2
Vegas Spread
-10
Passing Yds
203
Rushing Yds
196
Pass TDs
1.6
Rush TDs
1.5
Michigan
Record 9-2 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 5-6
#18
Model Score
19.3
Vegas Spread
+10
Passing Yds
127
Rushing Yds
217
Pass TDs
1.1
Rush TDs
1.5
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs UCLA |
W 48-10 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Purdue |
W 34-10 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Penn State |
W 38-14 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Wisconsin |
W 34-0 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Illinois |
W 34-16 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Northwestern |
W 24-22 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Purdue |
W 21-16 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Michigan State |
W 31-20 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Washington |
W 24-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ USC |
L 13-31 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
20.5
Ohio State -1.1
Second Half
23.5
Ohio State -2.7
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
44.5
Model Play Line
33.5
Model Projection
47.5
Edge
OVER by 14.0
OVER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
29.0
Nov 29 • 1:00PM ET
OU 51.5
Model: 47 (u)
17.8
Florida International
-455
6-5 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 5-6
29.0
Raw: 22.8 • Adj: 29.0 • Mode: 17
-9.5
Nov 29 • 1:00PM ET
VS
O/U 51.5 Model: 47 (u)
2-9 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 7-4
17.8
Raw: 14.4 • Adj: 17.8 • Mode: 7
+9.5
Spread
Money
Total
Golden Panthers
-9.5
-455
o51.5
Bearkats
+9.5
+350
u51.5
Model Picks
Florida International -9.5 (-112)
(55% Cover Probability)
UNDER 51.5 (-115)
(65% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Sam Houston +17.5 (-259)
(71% Cover Probability)
UNDER 61.5 (-382)
(87% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Florida International -9.5 (-112)
(55% Cover Probability)
UNDER 51.5 (-115)
(65% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Sam Houston +17.5 (-259)
(71% Cover Probability)
UNDER 61.5 (-382)
(87% Hit Probability)
First Half
17.3
Florida International -4.1
Second Half
20.0
Florida International -4.2
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 1:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Sam Houston +17.5 (-259)
-1.7
- Model Prob
- 75.0%
- Market Implied
- 72.1%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 79.3%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +2.7
- Total Delta
- +1.1
- Home Residual
- -1.2
- Away Residual
- +3.1
- Raw Total
- 37.3
- Adjusted Total
- 46.8
Team Form & Stats
Florida International
Record 6-5 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
29.0
Vegas Spread
-9.5
Passing Yds
200
Rushing Yds
189
Pass TDs
1.4
Rush TDs
1.4
Sam Houston
Record 2-9 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
17.8
Vegas Spread
+9.5
Passing Yds
132
Rushing Yds
217
Pass TDs
0.8
Rush TDs
1.1
Recent Game Log
Florida International
Last 5
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Liberty |
W 34-27 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Middle Tennessee |
W 56-30 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 29, 2025 |
@ Missouri State |
L 21-28 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 21, 2025 |
vs Kennesaw State |
L 26-45 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ UConn |
L 10-51 |
✗ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Delaware |
W 26-23 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Oregon State |
W 21-17 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 31, 2025 |
@ Louisiana Tech |
L 14-55 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 15, 2025 |
vs UTEP |
L 17-35 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
vs Jacksonville State |
L 27-29 |
✓ |
o |
First Half
17.3
Florida International -4.1
Second Half
20.0
Florida International -4.2
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 75%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
51.5
Model Play Line
61.5
Model Projection
46.8
Edge
UNDER by 14.7
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
14.5
Nov 29 • 1:00PM ET
OU 46.5
Model: 44.5 (u)
30.0
5-6 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 5-6
14.5
Raw: 22.0 • Adj: 14.5 • Mode: 14
+17.5
Nov 29 • 1:00PM ET
VS
O/U 46.5 Model: 44.5 (u)
10-1 • ATS: 8-3 • O/U: 5-6
30.0
Raw: 23.6 • Adj: 30.0 • Mode: 21
-17.5
Spread
Money
Total
Knights
+17.5
+700
o46.5
Cougars
-17.5
-1100
u46.5
Model Picks
UCF +17.5 (-112)
(55% Cover Probability)
UNDER 46.5 (-112)
(56% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
BYU -7.5 (-349)
(69% Cover Probability)
UNDER 57.5 (-342)
(73% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
UCF +17.5 (-112)
(55% Cover Probability)
UNDER 46.5 (-112)
(56% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
BYU -7.5 (-349)
(69% Cover Probability)
UNDER 57.5 (-342)
(73% Hit Probability)
Second Half
24.7
BYU -0.7
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 1:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 77.7%
- Model Prob
- 73.1%
- Market Implied
- 77.4%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +6.0
- Total Delta
- -1.3
- Home Residual
- +3.9
- Away Residual
- -5.9
- Raw Total
- 45.6
- Adjusted Total
- 44.5
Team Form & Stats
UCF
Record 5-6 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
14.5
Vegas Spread
+17.5
Passing Yds
144
Rushing Yds
278
Pass TDs
1.0
Rush TDs
1.8
BYU
Record 10-1 · ATS 8-3 · O/U 5-6
#11
Model Score
30.0
Vegas Spread
-17.5
Passing Yds
238
Rushing Yds
211
Pass TDs
1.6
Rush TDs
1.5
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Texas Tech |
L 9-48 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 7, 2025 |
vs Houston |
L 27-30 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Baylor |
L 3-30 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs West Virginia |
W 45-13 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Cincinnati |
L 11-20 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs TCU |
W 44-13 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Texas Tech |
L 7-29 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Iowa State |
W 41-27 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Utah |
W 24-21 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Arizona |
W 33-27 |
✓ |
o |
Second Half
24.7
BYU -0.7
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 73%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
46.5
Model Play Line
57.5
Model Projection
44.5
Edge
UNDER by 13.0
UNDER 73% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
21.9
Nov 29 • 1:00PM ET
OU 55.5
Model: 49 (u)
27.2
2-9 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 6-5
21.9
Raw: 14.8 • Adj: 21.9 • Mode: 10
+4
Nov 29 • 1:00PM ET
VS
O/U 55.5 Model: 49 (u)
5-6 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 5-6
27.2
Raw: 25.5 • Adj: 27.2 • Mode: 24
-4
Spread
Money
Total
Miners
+4
+164
o55.5
Blue Hens
-4
-198
u55.5
Model Picks
Delaware -4 (-112)
(53% Cover Probability)
UNDER 55.5 (-112)
(70% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Delaware +5.5 (-430)
(76% Cover Probability)
UNDER 65.5 (-324)
(90% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Delaware -4 (-112)
(53% Cover Probability)
UNDER 55.5 (-112)
(70% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Delaware +5.5 (-430)
(76% Cover Probability)
UNDER 65.5 (-324)
(90% Hit Probability)
First Half
18.1
Delaware -4.1
Second Half
22.2
Delaware -6.6
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 1:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: MEDIUM · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Delaware +5.5 (-430)
+1.3
- Model Prob
- 59.5%
- Market Implied
- 81.1%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 76.4%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -3.5
- Total Delta
- -0.4
- Home Residual
- -3.0
- Away Residual
- +2.5
- Raw Total
- 40.2
- Adjusted Total
- 49.0
Team Form & Stats
UTEP
Record 2-9 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
21.9
Vegas Spread
+4
Passing Yds
147
Rushing Yds
182
Pass TDs
0.8
Rush TDs
0.9
Delaware
Record 5-6 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
27.2
Vegas Spread
-4
Passing Yds
217
Rushing Yds
203
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
1.6
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Missouri State |
L 24-38 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Jacksonville State |
L 27-30 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 28, 2025 |
@ Kennesaw State |
L 20-33 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 15, 2025 |
@ Sam Houston |
W 35-17 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 8, 2025 |
vs Liberty |
L 8-19 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Sam Houston |
L 23-26 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Louisiana Tech |
W 25-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Liberty |
L 30-59 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 30, 2025 |
vs Middle Tennessee |
W 31-28 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 15, 2025 |
@ Jacksonville State |
L 25-38 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
18.1
Delaware -4.1
Second Half
22.2
Delaware -6.6
Spread Confidence
MEDIUM
Model Probability: 60%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
55.5
Model Play Line
65.5
Model Projection
49.0
Edge
UNDER by 16.5
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
26.0
Nov 29 • 1:30PM ET
OU 63.5
Model: 60.5 (u)
34.7
5-6 • ATS: 5-5-1 • O/U: 7-4
26.0
Raw: 21.3 • Adj: 26.0 • Mode: 17
+9
Nov 29 • 1:30PM ET
VS
O/U 63.5 Model: 60.5 (u)
5-6 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 6-5
34.7
Raw: 20.3 • Adj: 34.7 • Mode: 24
-9
Spread
Money
Total
Eagles
+9
+320
o63.5
Thundering Herd
-9
-410
u63.5
Model Picks
Georgia Southern +9 (-110)
(51% Cover Probability)
UNDER 63.5 (-105)
(59% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Marshall +0 (-391)
(68% Cover Probability)
UNDER 71.5 (-251)
(89% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Georgia Southern +9 (-110)
(51% Cover Probability)
UNDER 63.5 (-105)
(59% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Marshall +0 (-391)
(68% Cover Probability)
UNDER 71.5 (-251)
(89% Hit Probability)
First Half
19.9
Georgia Southern -0.1
Second Half
21.6
Georgia Southern -0.8
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 1:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Marshall +0 (-391)
-0.4
- Model Prob
- 76.1%
- Market Implied
- 79.6%
- Model Prob
- 75.5%
- Market Implied
- 71.5%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +5.9
- Total Delta
- +6.0
- Home Residual
- +9.5
- Away Residual
- +0.2
- Raw Total
- 41.6
- Adjusted Total
- 60.7
Team Form & Stats
Georgia Southern
Record 5-6 · ATS 5-5-1 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
26.0
Vegas Spread
+9
Passing Yds
201
Rushing Yds
193
Pass TDs
1.3
Rush TDs
1.2
Marshall
Record 5-6 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
34.7
Vegas Spread
-9
Passing Yds
171
Rushing Yds
199
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
1.3
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Coastal Carolina |
W 45-40 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 6, 2025 |
@ App State |
W 25-23 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Arkansas State |
L 24-34 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Georgia State |
W 41-24 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
vs Southern Miss |
L 35-38 |
✗ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Georgia State |
W 30-18 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs James Madison |
L 23-35 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 30, 2025 |
@ Coastal Carolina |
L 27-44 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Texas State |
W 40-37 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Old Dominion |
W 48-24 |
✓ |
o |
First Half
19.9
Georgia Southern -0.1
Second Half
21.6
Georgia Southern -0.8
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 76%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 75%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
63.5
Model Play Line
71.5
Model Projection
60.7
Edge
UNDER by 10.8
UNDER 75% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
16.2
Nov 29 • 2:00PM ET
OU 58.5
Model: 51.5 (u)
35.5
1-10 • ATS: 1-10 • O/U: 6-5
16.2
Raw: 18.1 • Adj: 16.2 • Mode: 24
+27
Nov 29 • 2:00PM ET
VS
O/U 58.5 Model: 51.5 (u)
8-3 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 5-6
35.5
Raw: 25.6 • Adj: 35.5 • Mode: 21
-27
Spread
Money
Total
Panthers
+27
+2200
o58.5
Monarchs
-27
-8000
u58.5
Model Picks
Georgia State +27 (-108)
(68% Cover Probability)
UNDER 58.5 (-110)
(69% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Georgia State +36 (-302)
(84% Cover Probability)
UNDER 68.5 (-346)
(88% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Georgia State +27 (-108)
(68% Cover Probability)
UNDER 58.5 (-110)
(69% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Georgia State +36 (-302)
(84% Cover Probability)
UNDER 68.5 (-346)
(88% Hit Probability)
First Half
21.1
Old Dominion -3.9
Second Half
22.6
Old Dominion -3.6
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · Georgia State +36 (-302) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 2:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Georgia State +36 (-302)
+7.8
- Model Prob
- 76.1%
- Market Implied
- 75.1%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 77.6%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +2.0
- Total Delta
- -0.9
- Home Residual
- +0.8
- Away Residual
- -2.2
- Raw Total
- 43.7
- Adjusted Total
- 51.7
Team Form & Stats
Georgia State
Record 1-10 · ATS 1-10 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
16.2
Vegas Spread
+27
Passing Yds
199
Rushing Yds
184
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
1.0
Old Dominion
Record 8-3 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
35.5
Vegas Spread
-27
Passing Yds
175
Rushing Yds
240
Pass TDs
1.6
Rush TDs
1.9
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Marshall |
L 18-30 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Coastal Carolina |
L 27-40 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 23, 2025 |
vs South Alabama |
L 31-38 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Georgia Southern |
L 24-41 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs App State |
L 20-41 |
✗ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 13, 2025 |
vs Troy |
W 33-0 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ UL Monroe |
W 31-6 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs App State |
W 24-21 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ James Madison |
L 27-63 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Marshall |
L 24-48 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
21.1
Old Dominion -3.9
Second Half
22.6
Old Dominion -3.6
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 76%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
Georgia State +36 (-302)
76%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
58.5
Model Play Line
68.5
Model Projection
51.7
Edge
UNDER by 16.8
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
25.6
Nov 29 • 2:00PM ET
OU 55.5
Model: 53.5 (u)
28.1
8-3 • ATS: 9-2 • O/U: 5-6
25.6
Raw: 20.5 • Adj: 25.6 • Mode: 14
-3
Nov 29 • 2:00PM ET
VS
O/U 55.5 Model: 53.5 (u)
7-4 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 7-4
28.1
Raw: 29.3 • Adj: 28.1 • Mode: 31
+3
Spread
Money
Total
Hilltoppers
-3
-130
o55.5
Gamecocks
+3
+110
u55.5
Model Picks
Jacksonville State +3 (-110)
(62% Cover Probability)
UNDER 55.5 (-108)
(55% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Jacksonville State +13 (-410)
(79% Cover Probability)
UNDER 65.5 (-292)
(80% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Jacksonville State +3 (-110)
(62% Cover Probability)
UNDER 55.5 (-108)
(55% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Jacksonville State +13 (-410)
(79% Cover Probability)
UNDER 65.5 (-292)
(80% Hit Probability)
First Half
23.4
Jacksonville State -4.2
Second Half
26.4
Jacksonville State -4.6
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · Jacksonville State +13 (-410) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 2:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Jacksonville State +13 (-410)
+0.5
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 80.4%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 74.5%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +1.4
- Total Delta
- +1.8
- Home Residual
- +0.3
- Away Residual
- +2.6
- Raw Total
- 49.8
- Adjusted Total
- 53.7
Team Form & Stats
Western Kentucky
Record 8-3 · ATS 9-2 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
25.6
Vegas Spread
-3
Passing Yds
211
Rushing Yds
174
Pass TDs
1.4
Rush TDs
1.0
Jacksonville State
Record 7-4 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
28.1
Vegas Spread
+3
Passing Yds
172
Rushing Yds
292
Pass TDs
1.3
Rush TDs
2.5
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Middle Tennessee |
W 42-26 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs New Mexico State |
W 35-16 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 21, 2025 |
@ Louisiana Tech |
W 28-27 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 3, 2025 |
@ Delaware |
W 27-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Sep 27, 2025 |
@ Missouri State |
W 27-22 |
✓ |
u |
Jacksonville State
Last 5
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Kennesaw State |
W 35-26 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ UTEP |
W 30-27 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Middle Tennessee |
W 24-21 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 15, 2025 |
vs Delaware |
W 38-25 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
@ Sam Houston |
W 29-27 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
23.4
Jacksonville State -4.2
Second Half
26.4
Jacksonville State -4.6
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
Jacksonville State +13 (-410)
78%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
55.5
Model Play Line
65.5
Model Projection
53.7
Edge
UNDER by 11.8
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
20.2
Nov 29 • 2:00PM ET
OU 48.5
Model: 45.5 (u)
25.3
6-5 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 4-7
20.2
Raw: 15.9 • Adj: 20.2 • Mode: 14
+2.5
Nov 29 • 2:00PM ET
VS
O/U 48.5 Model: 45.5 (u)
7-4 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 3-8
25.3
Raw: 24.1 • Adj: 25.3 • Mode: 31
-2.5
Spread
Money
Total
Bulldogs
+2.5
+102
o48.5
Bears
-2.5
-122
u48.5
Model Picks
Missouri State -2.5 (-110)
(56% Cover Probability)
UNDER 48.5 (-108)
(59% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Missouri State +6.5 (-434)
(78% Cover Probability)
UNDER 56.5 (-273)
(88% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Missouri State -2.5 (-110)
(56% Cover Probability)
UNDER 48.5 (-108)
(59% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Missouri State +6.5 (-434)
(78% Cover Probability)
UNDER 56.5 (-273)
(88% Hit Probability)
First Half
18.5
Missouri State -3.1
Second Half
21.5
Missouri State -5.1
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 2:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Missouri State +6.5 (-434)
+2.6
- Model Prob
- 70.7%
- Market Implied
- 81.3%
- Model Prob
- 75.5%
- Market Implied
- 73.2%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -1.6
- Total Delta
- +1.6
- Home Residual
- —
- Away Residual
- +2.6
- Raw Total
- 39.9
- Adjusted Total
- 45.5
Team Form & Stats
Louisiana Tech
Record 6-5 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
20.2
Vegas Spread
+2.5
Passing Yds
145
Rushing Yds
185
Pass TDs
1.0
Rush TDs
0.9
Missouri State
Record 7-4 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 3-8
Model Score
25.3
Vegas Spread
-2.5
Passing Yds
189
Rushing Yds
222
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
1.5
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Washington State |
L 3-28 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Delaware |
L 24-25 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 31, 2025 |
vs Sam Houston |
W 55-14 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 21, 2025 |
vs Western Kentucky |
L 27-28 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
@ Kennesaw State |
L 7-35 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs UTEP |
W 38-24 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Liberty |
W 21-17 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 29, 2025 |
vs Florida International |
W 28-21 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 22, 2025 |
@ New Mexico State |
W 24-17 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 14, 2025 |
@ Middle Tennessee |
W 22-20 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
18.5
Missouri State -3.1
Second Half
21.5
Missouri State -5.1
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 71%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 75%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
48.5
Model Play Line
56.5
Model Projection
45.5
Edge
UNDER by 11.0
UNDER 75% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
21.6
Nov 29 • 2:30PM ET
OU 54
Model: 48 (u)
26.4
5-6 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 3-8
21.6
Raw: 19.8 • Adj: 21.6 • Mode: 24
+2.5
Nov 29 • 2:30PM ET
VS
O/U 54 Model: 48 (u)
5-6 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 5-6
26.4
Raw: 26.1 • Adj: 26.4 • Mode: 21
-2.5
Spread
Money
Total
Red Wolves
+2.5
+105
o54
Mountaineers
-2.5
-125
u54
Model Picks
App State -2.5 (-112)
(56% Cover Probability)
UNDER 54 (-112)
(66% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
App State +6.5 (-374)
(76% Cover Probability)
UNDER 64.5 (-328)
(85% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
App State -2.5 (-112)
(56% Cover Probability)
UNDER 54 (-112)
(66% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
App State +6.5 (-374)
(76% Cover Probability)
UNDER 64.5 (-328)
(85% Hit Probability)
First Half
21.3
App State -3.1
Second Half
24.5
App State -3.3
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 2:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
App State +6.5 (-374)
+2.4
- Model Prob
- 70.7%
- Market Implied
- 78.9%
- Model Prob
- 84.9%
- Market Implied
- 76.6%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -0.6
- Total Delta
- -1.4
- Home Residual
- -1.5
- Away Residual
- -0.7
- Raw Total
- 45.8
- Adjusted Total
- 48.0
Team Form & Stats
Arkansas State
Record 5-6 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 3-8
Model Score
21.6
Vegas Spread
+2.5
Passing Yds
235
Rushing Yds
187
Pass TDs
1.3
Rush TDs
1.1
App State
Record 5-6 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
26.4
Vegas Spread
-2.5
Passing Yds
258
Rushing Yds
220
Pass TDs
1.9
Rush TDs
1.5
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Southern Miss |
L 21-27 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Troy |
W 23-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Georgia Southern |
W 34-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
vs Texas State |
W 31-30 |
✓ |
u |
| Sep 27, 2025 |
@ UL Monroe |
L 16-28 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ James Madison |
L 10-58 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 6, 2025 |
vs Georgia Southern |
L 23-25 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Old Dominion |
L 21-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Coastal Carolina |
L 37-45 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Georgia State |
W 41-20 |
✓ |
o |
First Half
21.3
App State -3.1
Second Half
24.5
App State -3.3
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 71%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 85%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
54
Model Play Line
64.5
Model Projection
48.0
Edge
UNDER by 16.5
UNDER 85% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
22.8
Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET
OU 52.5
Model: 41 (u)
18.0
1-10 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 8-3
22.8
Raw: 19.6 • Adj: 22.8 • Mode: 24
-3
Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET
VS
O/U 52.5 Model: 41 (u)
3-8 • ATS: 4-6-1 • O/U: 6-5
18.0
Raw: 19.1 • Adj: 18.0 • Mode: 14
+3
Spread
Money
Total
Eagles
-3
-148
o52.5
Orange
+3
+124
u52.5
Model Picks
Boston College -3 (-115)
(55% Cover Probability)
UNDER 52.5 (-105)
(82% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Syracuse +12.5 (-376)
(69% Cover Probability)
UNDER 60.5 (-247)
(93% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Boston College -3 (-115)
(55% Cover Probability)
UNDER 52.5 (-105)
(82% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Syracuse +12.5 (-376)
(69% Cover Probability)
UNDER 60.5 (-247)
(93% Hit Probability)
First Half
17.5
Boston College -0.1
Second Half
21.2
Boston College -0.4
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Syracuse +12.5 (-376)
-1.8
- Model Prob
- 77.4%
- Market Implied
- 79.0%
- Model Prob
- 75.5%
- Market Implied
- 71.2%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +3.8
- Total Delta
- -6.0
- Home Residual
- -10.1
- Away Residual
- -3.9
- Raw Total
- 38.7
- Adjusted Total
- 40.8
Team Form & Stats
Boston College
Record 1-10 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 8-3
Model Score
22.8
Vegas Spread
-3
Passing Yds
165
Rushing Yds
212
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
1.3
Syracuse
Record 3-8 · ATS 4-6-1 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
18.0
Vegas Spread
+3
Passing Yds
224
Rushing Yds
163
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
1.0
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Georgia Tech |
L 34-36 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs SMU |
L 13-45 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Notre Dame |
L 10-25 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Louisville |
L 24-38 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs UConn |
L 23-38 |
✗ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Miami |
L 10-38 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 31, 2025 |
vs North Carolina |
L 10-27 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Georgia Tech |
L 16-41 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Pittsburgh |
L 13-30 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ SMU |
L 18-31 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
17.5
Boston College -0.1
Second Half
21.2
Boston College -0.4
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 77%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 75%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
52.5
Model Play Line
60.5
Model Projection
40.8
Edge
UNDER by 19.7
UNDER 75% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
15.5
Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET
OU 48.5
Model: 43 (u)
27.6
3-8 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 5-6
15.5
Raw: 15.9 • Adj: 15.5 • Mode: 14
+9.5
Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET
VS
O/U 48.5 Model: 43 (u)
5-6 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 7-4
27.6
Raw: 21.3 • Adj: 27.6 • Mode: 28
-9.5
Spread
Money
Total
Warhawks
+9.5
+275
o48.5
Ragin' Cajuns
-9.5
-345
u48.5
Model Picks
Louisiana -9.5 (-112)
(56% Cover Probability)
UNDER 48.5 (-115)
(67% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Louisiana -2.5 (-330)
(74% Cover Probability)
UNDER 56.5 (-359)
(89% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Louisiana -9.5 (-112)
(56% Cover Probability)
UNDER 48.5 (-115)
(67% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Louisiana -2.5 (-330)
(74% Cover Probability)
UNDER 56.5 (-359)
(89% Hit Probability)
First Half
16.8
Louisiana -2.6
Second Half
20.4
Louisiana -2.8
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Louisiana -2.5 (-330)
+2.6
- Model Prob
- 72.7%
- Market Implied
- 76.7%
- Model Prob
- 75.5%
- Market Implied
- 78.2%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +5.8
- Total Delta
- -0.0
- Home Residual
- +4.5
- Away Residual
- -4.3
- Raw Total
- 37.2
- Adjusted Total
- 43.1
Team Form & Stats
UL Monroe
Record 3-8 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
15.5
Vegas Spread
+9.5
Passing Yds
115
Rushing Yds
234
Pass TDs
0.6
Rush TDs
1.3
Louisiana
Record 5-6 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
27.6
Vegas Spread
-9.5
Passing Yds
159
Rushing Yds
240
Pass TDs
1.4
Rush TDs
1.4
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs South Alabama |
L 14-26 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Old Dominion |
L 6-31 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Southern Miss |
L 21-49 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Troy |
L 14-37 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Coastal Carolina |
L 8-23 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Texas State |
W 42-39 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ South Alabama |
W 31-22 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Troy |
L 23-35 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Southern Miss |
L 10-22 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ James Madison |
L 14-24 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
16.8
Louisiana -2.6
Second Half
20.4
Louisiana -2.8
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 73%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 75%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
48.5
Model Play Line
56.5
Model Projection
43.1
Edge
UNDER by 13.4
UNDER 75% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
24.1
Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET
OU 52.5
Model: 48.5 (u)
24.7
2-9 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 5-6
24.1
Raw: 17.8 • Adj: 24.1 • Mode: 17
+4
Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET
VS
O/U 52.5 Model: 48.5 (u)
4-7 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 4-7
24.7
Raw: 18.2 • Adj: 24.7 • Mode: 18
-4
Spread
Money
Total
Blue Raiders
+4
+145
o52.5
Aggies
-4
-175
u52.5
Model Picks
Middle Tennessee +4 (-108)
(59% Cover Probability)
UNDER 52.5 (-110)
(63% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
New Mexico State +5 (-382)
(66% Cover Probability)
UNDER 62.5 (-309)
(87% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Middle Tennessee +4 (-108)
(59% Cover Probability)
UNDER 52.5 (-110)
(63% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
New Mexico State +5 (-382)
(66% Cover Probability)
UNDER 62.5 (-309)
(87% Hit Probability)
First Half
17.1
New Mexico State -0.7
Second Half
18.9
Middle Tennessee -0.3
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: MEDIUM · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
New Mexico State +5 (-382)
-3.4
- Model Prob
- 60.6%
- Market Implied
- 79.3%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 75.6%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -0.5
- Total Delta
- +2.8
- Home Residual
- +1.8
- Away Residual
- +2.6
- Raw Total
- 36.0
- Adjusted Total
- 48.7
Team Form & Stats
Middle Tennessee
Record 2-9 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
24.1
Vegas Spread
+4
Passing Yds
205
Rushing Yds
146
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
0.8
New Mexico State
Record 4-7 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
24.7
Vegas Spread
-4
Passing Yds
133
Rushing Yds
215
Pass TDs
0.7
Rush TDs
1.4
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Western Kentucky |
L 26-42 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Florida International |
L 30-56 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Jacksonville State |
L 21-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 30, 2025 |
@ Delaware |
L 28-31 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 14, 2025 |
vs Missouri State |
L 20-22 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Tennessee |
L 9-42 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Kennesaw State |
L 21-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Western Kentucky |
L 16-35 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 22, 2025 |
vs Missouri State |
L 17-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 2, 2025 |
vs Sam Houston |
W 37-10 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
17.1
New Mexico State -0.7
Second Half
18.9
Middle Tennessee -0.3
Spread Confidence
MEDIUM
Model Probability: 61%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
52.5
Model Play Line
62.5
Model Projection
48.7
Edge
UNDER by 13.8
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
22.6
Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET
OU 58.5
Model: 52 (u)
29.4
3-8 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 6-5
22.6
Raw: 20.2 • Adj: 22.6 • Mode: 17
+8.5
Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET
VS
O/U 58.5 Model: 52 (u)
4-7 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 5-6
29.4
Raw: 23.2 • Adj: 29.4 • Mode: 24
-8.5
Spread
Money
Total
Blazers
+8.5
+260
o58.5
Golden Hurricane
-8.5
-325
u58.5
Model Picks
UAB +8.5 (-110)
(54% Cover Probability)
UNDER 58.5 (-115)
(69% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Tulsa +1.5 (-390)
(70% Cover Probability)
UNDER 68.5 (-366)
(89% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
UAB +8.5 (-110)
(54% Cover Probability)
UNDER 58.5 (-115)
(69% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Tulsa +1.5 (-390)
(70% Cover Probability)
UNDER 68.5 (-366)
(89% Hit Probability)
First Half
20.5
Tulsa -1.5
Second Half
23.0
Tulsa -1.4
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
- Model Prob
- 72.7%
- Market Implied
- 79.6%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 78.5%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +2.4
- Total Delta
- -0.4
- Home Residual
- +1.7
- Away Residual
- -2.3
- Raw Total
- 43.4
- Adjusted Total
- 52.0
Team Form & Stats
UAB
Record 3-8 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
22.6
Vegas Spread
+8.5
Passing Yds
230
Rushing Yds
185
Pass TDs
1.3
Rush TDs
1.0
Tulsa
Record 4-7 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
29.4
Vegas Spread
-8.5
Passing Yds
207
Rushing Yds
211
Pass TDs
1.3
Rush TDs
1.4
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs North Texas |
L 24-53 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Rice |
L 17-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ UConn |
L 19-38 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Memphis |
W 31-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Florida Atlantic |
L 33-53 |
✗ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Oregon State |
W 31-14 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Temple |
L 37-38 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 16, 2025 |
@ East Carolina |
L 27-41 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ Memphis |
L 7-45 |
✗ |
u |
| Sep 27, 2025 |
vs Tulane |
L 14-31 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
20.5
Tulsa -1.5
Second Half
23.0
Tulsa -1.4
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 73%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
58.5
Model Play Line
68.5
Model Projection
52.0
Edge
UNDER by 16.5
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
27.9
Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET
OU 62.5
Model: 60.5 (u)
32.4
4-7 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 7-4
27.9
Raw: 26.3 • Adj: 27.9 • Mode: 24
+9.5
Nov 29 • 3:00PM ET
VS
O/U 62.5 Model: 60.5 (u)
5-6 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 6-5
32.4
Raw: 27.3 • Adj: 32.4 • Mode: 25
-9.5
Spread
Money
Total
Jaguars
+9.5
+275
o62.5
Bobcats
-9.5
-345
u62.5
Model Picks
South Alabama +9.5 (-112)
(61% Cover Probability)
UNDER 62.5 (-105)
(56% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Texas State -2.5 (-325)
(57% Cover Probability)
UNDER 72.5 (-330)
(81% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
South Alabama +9.5 (-112)
(61% Cover Probability)
UNDER 62.5 (-105)
(56% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Texas State -2.5 (-325)
(57% Cover Probability)
UNDER 72.5 (-330)
(81% Hit Probability)
First Half
25.1
Texas State -1.1
Second Half
28.5
South Alabama -0.1
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: MINIMAL · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Texas State -2.5 (-325)
-5.0
- Model Prob
- 72.7%
- Market Implied
- 76.5%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 76.7%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +0.7
- Total Delta
- +2.6
- Home Residual
- +2.6
- Away Residual
- +1.6
- Raw Total
- 53.6
- Adjusted Total
- 60.3
Team Form & Stats
South Alabama
Record 4-7 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
27.9
Vegas Spread
+9.5
Passing Yds
183
Rushing Yds
253
Pass TDs
1.4
Rush TDs
1.9
Texas State
Record 5-6 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
32.4
Vegas Spread
-9.5
Passing Yds
256
Rushing Yds
195
Pass TDs
1.9
Rush TDs
1.5
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ UL Monroe |
W 26-14 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Louisiana |
L 22-31 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 23, 2025 |
@ Georgia State |
W 38-31 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ Troy |
L 24-31 |
✗ |
o |
| Sep 27, 2025 |
@ North Texas |
L 22-36 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Southern Miss |
W 41-14 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Louisiana |
L 39-42 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 28, 2025 |
vs James Madison |
L 20-52 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Marshall |
L 37-40 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Troy |
L 41-48 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
25.1
Texas State -1.1
Second Half
28.5
South Alabama -0.1
Spread Confidence
MINIMAL
Model Probability: 73%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
62.5
Model Play Line
72.5
Model Projection
60.3
Edge
UNDER by 12.2
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
32.2
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
OU 66
Model: 64.5 (u)
32.2
9-2 • ATS: 9-2 • O/U: 7-4
32.2
Raw: 22.4 • Adj: 32.2 • Mode: 25
+3
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 66 Model: 64.5 (u)
8-3 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 7-4
32.2
Raw: 24.7 • Adj: 32.2 • Mode: 24
-3
Spread
Money
Total
Commodores
+3
+124
o66
Volunteers
-3
-148
u66
Model Picks
Vanderbilt +3 (-105)
(57% Cover Probability)
UNDER 66 (-108)
(55% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Tennessee +6.5 (-360)
(66% Cover Probability)
UNDER 75.5 (-280)
(88% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Vanderbilt +3 (-105)
(57% Cover Probability)
UNDER 66 (-108)
(55% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Tennessee +6.5 (-360)
(66% Cover Probability)
UNDER 75.5 (-280)
(88% Hit Probability)
First Half
22.0
Tennessee -1.2
Second Half
25.1
Tennessee -1.1
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: MEDIUM · Total: LEAN
Spread
Tennessee +6.5 (-360)
-3.0
- Model Prob
- 64.2%
- Market Implied
- 78.3%
- Model Prob
- 78.1%
- Market Implied
- 73.7%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -2.4
- Total Delta
- +6.0
- Home Residual
- +4.0
- Away Residual
- +7.8
- Raw Total
- 47.0
- Adjusted Total
- 64.4
Team Form & Stats
Vanderbilt
Record 9-2 · ATS 9-2 · O/U 7-4
#12
Model Score
32.2
Vegas Spread
+3
Passing Yds
163
Rushing Yds
223
Pass TDs
1.3
Rush TDs
1.4
Tennessee
Record 8-3 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 7-4
#20
Model Score
32.2
Vegas Spread
-3
Passing Yds
195
Rushing Yds
210
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
1.5
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Auburn |
W 45-38 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Texas |
L 31-34 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Missouri |
W 17-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs LSU |
W 31-24 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ Alabama |
L 14-30 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs New Mexico State |
W 42-9 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Oklahoma |
L 27-33 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Kentucky |
W 56-34 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Alabama |
L 20-37 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Arkansas |
W 34-31 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
22.0
Tennessee -1.2
Second Half
25.1
Tennessee -1.1
Spread Confidence
MEDIUM
Model Probability: 64%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 78%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
66
Model Play Line
75.5
Model Projection
64.4
Edge
UNDER by 11.1
UNDER 78% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
24.2
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
OU 50.5
Model: 51.5 (o)
27.0
7-4 • ATS: 8-3 • O/U: 5-6
24.2
Raw: 23.7 • Adj: 24.2 • Mode: 24
+6.5
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 50.5 Model: 51.5 (o)
7-4 • ATS: 5-5-1 • O/U: 6-5
27.0
Raw: 16.2 • Adj: 27.0 • Mode: 17
-6.5
Spread
Money
Total
Trojans
+6.5
+200
o50.5
Golden Eagles
-6.5
-245
u50.5
Model Picks
Troy +6.5 (-112)
(59% Cover Probability)
OVER 50.5 (-118)
(53% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Southern Miss +3.5 (-423)
(65% Cover Probability)
OVER 40.5 (-368)
(80% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Troy +6.5 (-112)
(59% Cover Probability)
OVER 50.5 (-118)
(53% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Southern Miss +3.5 (-423)
(65% Cover Probability)
OVER 40.5 (-368)
(80% Hit Probability)
First Half
18.1
Troy -2.9
Second Half
21.8
Troy -4.6
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: MEDIUM · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Southern Miss +3.5 (-423)
-3.7
- Model Prob
- 63.2%
- Market Implied
- 80.9%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 78.6%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +3.7
- Total Delta
- +6.0
- Home Residual
- +8.1
- Away Residual
- +2.2
- Raw Total
- 40.0
- Adjusted Total
- 51.3
Team Form & Stats
Troy
Record 7-4 · ATS 8-3 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
24.2
Vegas Spread
+6.5
Passing Yds
166
Rushing Yds
225
Pass TDs
1.4
Rush TDs
1.5
Southern Miss
Record 7-4 · ATS 5-5-1 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
27.0
Vegas Spread
-6.5
Passing Yds
162
Rushing Yds
192
Pass TDs
0.8
Rush TDs
1.1
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 13, 2025 |
@ Old Dominion |
L 0-33 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Arkansas State |
L 10-23 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Louisiana |
W 35-23 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ UL Monroe |
W 37-14 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Texas State |
W 48-41 |
✓ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Texas State |
L 14-41 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Arkansas State |
W 27-21 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs UL Monroe |
W 49-21 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Louisiana |
W 22-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
@ Georgia Southern |
W 38-35 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
18.1
Troy -2.9
Second Half
21.8
Troy -4.6
Spread Confidence
MEDIUM
Model Probability: 63%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
50.5
Model Play Line
40.5
Model Projection
51.3
Edge
OVER by 10.8
OVER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
25.7
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
OU 55.5
Model: 55.5 (u)
29.8
8-3 • ATS: 8-3 • O/U: 6-5
25.7
Raw: 16.7 • Adj: 25.7 • Mode: 7
+1.5
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 55.5 Model: 55.5 (u)
6-5 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 8-3
29.8
Raw: 23.7 • Adj: 29.8 • Mode: 24
-1.5
Spread
Money
Total
Demon Deacons
+1.5
-105
o55.5
Blue Devils
-1.5
-115
u55.5
Model Picks
Duke -1.5 (-108)
(56% Cover Probability)
UNDER 55.5 (-105)
(50% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Duke +8.5 (-356)
(78% Cover Probability)
OVER 43.5 (-342)
(65% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Duke -1.5 (-108)
(56% Cover Probability)
UNDER 55.5 (-105)
(50% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Duke +8.5 (-356)
(78% Cover Probability)
OVER 43.5 (-342)
(65% Hit Probability)
First Half
19.4
Duke -4.4
Second Half
21.2
Duke -2.6
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LOW
- Model Prob
- 72.7%
- Market Implied
- 78.1%
- Model Prob
- 64.7%
- Market Implied
- 77.4%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -1.5
- Total Delta
- +6.0
- Home Residual
- +4.2
- Away Residual
- +6.3
- Raw Total
- 40.5
- Adjusted Total
- 55.5
Team Form & Stats
Wake Forest
Record 8-3 · ATS 8-3 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
25.7
Vegas Spread
+1.5
Passing Yds
154
Rushing Yds
200
Pass TDs
0.8
Rush TDs
1.1
Duke
Record 6-5 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 8-3
Model Score
29.8
Vegas Spread
-1.5
Passing Yds
240
Rushing Yds
160
Pass TDs
1.7
Rush TDs
1.1
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs North Carolina |
W 28-12 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Virginia |
W 16-9 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Florida State |
L 7-42 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs SMU |
W 13-12 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Oregon State |
W 39-14 |
✓ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Virginia |
L 17-34 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ UConn |
L 34-37 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Clemson |
W 46-45 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Georgia Tech |
L 18-27 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ California |
W 45-21 |
✓ |
o |
First Half
19.4
Duke -4.4
Second Half
21.2
Duke -2.6
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 73%
Total Confidence
LOW
Model Probability: 65%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
55.5
Model Play Line
43.5
Model Projection
55.5
Edge
OVER by 12.0
OVER 65% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
18.9
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
OU 37.5
Model: 31.5 (u)
12.6
4-7 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 2-9
18.9
Raw: 15.0 • Adj: 18.9 • Mode: 7
+0
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 37.5 Model: 31.5 (u)
6-5 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 6-5
12.6
Raw: 19.4 • Adj: 12.6 • Mode: 21
+0
Spread
Money
Total
Badgers
+0
-122
o37.5
Golden Gophers
+0
+102
u37.5
Model Picks
Pick PK (-112)
(67% Cover Probability)
UNDER 37.5 (-112)
(69% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Pick +10 (-364)
(85% Cover Probability)
UNDER 48.5 (-410)
(88% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Pick PK (-112)
(67% Cover Probability)
UNDER 37.5 (-112)
(69% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Pick +10 (-364)
(85% Cover Probability)
UNDER 48.5 (-410)
(88% Hit Probability)
First Half
16.5
Minnesota -2.1
Second Half
18.0
Minnesota -2.4
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · Pick +10 (-364) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
- Model Prob
- 75.0%
- Market Implied
- 78.4%
- Model Prob
- 87.5%
- Market Implied
- 80.4%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +3.0
- Total Delta
- -4.0
- Home Residual
- -0.7
- Away Residual
- -5.4
- Raw Total
- 34.5
- Adjusted Total
- 31.5
Team Form & Stats
Wisconsin
Record 4-7 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 2-9
Model Score
18.9
Vegas Spread
+0
Passing Yds
165
Rushing Yds
160
Pass TDs
0.9
Rush TDs
0.9
Minnesota
Record 6-5 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
12.6
Vegas Spread
+0
Passing Yds
218
Rushing Yds
162
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
1.1
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Indiana |
L 7-31 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Washington |
W 13-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Oregon |
L 7-21 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Ohio State |
L 0-34 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Iowa |
L 0-37 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 14, 2025 |
@ Oregon |
L 13-42 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Michigan State |
W 23-20 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Iowa |
L 3-41 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 17, 2025 |
vs Nebraska |
W 24-6 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Purdue |
W 27-20 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
16.5
Minnesota -2.1
Second Half
18.0
Minnesota -2.4
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 75%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 88%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
Pick +10 (-364)
75%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
37.5
Model Play Line
48.5
Model Projection
31.5
Edge
UNDER by 17.0
UNDER 88% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
28.2
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
OU 51.5
Model: 52.5 (o)
24.2
10-1 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 6-5
28.2
Raw: 24.3 • Adj: 28.2 • Mode: 21
-6.5
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 51.5 Model: 52.5 (o)
8-3 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 6-5
24.2
Raw: 23.1 • Adj: 24.2 • Mode: 24
+6.5
Spread
Money
Total
Ducks
-6.5
-270
o51.5
Huskies
+6.5
+220
u51.5
Model Picks
Washington +6.5 (-115)
(56% Cover Probability)
OVER 51.5 (-110)
(53% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Washington +16 (-342)
(75% Cover Probability)
OVER 41.5 (-346)
(79% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Washington +6.5 (-115)
(56% Cover Probability)
OVER 51.5 (-110)
(53% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Washington +16 (-342)
(75% Cover Probability)
OVER 41.5 (-346)
(79% Hit Probability)
First Half
22.2
Oregon -0.6
Second Half
25.1
Oregon -0.7
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Washington +16 (-342)
+2.5
- Model Prob
- 77.4%
- Market Implied
- 77.4%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 77.6%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +1.5
- Total Delta
- +3.6
- Home Residual
- +1.6
- Away Residual
- +4.0
- Raw Total
- 47.4
- Adjusted Total
- 52.4
Team Form & Stats
Oregon
Record 10-1 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 6-5
#6
Model Score
28.2
Vegas Spread
-6.5
Passing Yds
194
Rushing Yds
203
Pass TDs
1.4
Rush TDs
1.7
Washington
Record 8-3 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
24.2
Vegas Spread
+6.5
Passing Yds
194
Rushing Yds
220
Pass TDs
1.3
Rush TDs
1.5
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 14, 2025 |
vs Minnesota |
W 42-13 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Iowa |
W 18-16 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Wisconsin |
W 21-7 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Rutgers |
W 56-10 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Indiana |
L 20-30 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Purdue |
W 49-13 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Wisconsin |
L 10-13 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Illinois |
W 42-25 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Michigan |
L 7-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 10, 2025 |
vs Rutgers |
W 38-19 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
22.2
Oregon -0.6
Second Half
25.1
Oregon -0.7
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 77%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
51.5
Model Play Line
41.5
Model Projection
52.4
Edge
OVER by 10.9
OVER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
21.0
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
OU 52.5
Model: 51 (u)
30.1
5-5 • ATS: 4-6 • O/U: 3-7
21.0
Raw: 23.7 • Adj: 21.0 • Mode: 21
+7.5
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 52.5 Model: 51 (u)
6-5 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 8-3
30.1
Raw: 25.3 • Adj: 30.1 • Mode: 24
-7.5
Spread
Money
Total
Black Knights
+7.5
+235
o52.5
Roadrunners
-7.5
-290
u52.5
Model Picks
UTSA -7.5 (-110)
(54% Cover Probability)
UNDER 52.5 (-115)
(54% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
UTSA +2.5 (-387)
(75% Cover Probability)
UNDER 60.5 (-328)
(89% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
UTSA -7.5 (-110)
(54% Cover Probability)
UNDER 52.5 (-115)
(54% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
UTSA +2.5 (-387)
(75% Cover Probability)
UNDER 60.5 (-328)
(89% Hit Probability)
First Half
23.1
UTSA -1.3
Second Half
26.1
UTSA -0.3
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
- Model Prob
- 68.0%
- Market Implied
- 79.5%
- Model Prob
- 75.5%
- Market Implied
- 76.6%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +6.0
- Total Delta
- +0.9
- Home Residual
- +6.8
- Away Residual
- -5.3
- Raw Total
- 49.1
- Adjusted Total
- 51.1
Team Form & Stats
Army
Record 5-5 · ATS 4-6 · O/U 3-7
Model Score
21.0
Vegas Spread
+7.5
Passing Yds
141
Rushing Yds
256
Pass TDs
1.0
Rush TDs
2.1
UTSA
Record 6-5 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 8-3
Model Score
30.1
Vegas Spread
-7.5
Passing Yds
267
Rushing Yds
182
Pass TDs
1.9
Rush TDs
1.2
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Temple |
W 14-13 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Air Force |
W 20-17 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Tulane |
L 17-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Charlotte |
W 24-7 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ UAB |
W 31-13 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Charlotte |
W 28-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 6, 2025 |
@ South Florida |
L 23-55 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 30, 2025 |
vs Tulane |
W 48-26 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ North Texas |
L 17-55 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Rice |
W 61-13 |
✓ |
o |
First Half
23.1
UTSA -1.3
Second Half
26.1
UTSA -0.3
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 68%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 75%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
52.5
Model Play Line
60.5
Model Projection
51.1
Edge
UNDER by 9.4
UNDER 75% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
25.8
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
OU 56.5
Model: 49.5 (u)
23.7
7-4 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 6-5
25.8
Raw: 22.4 • Adj: 25.8 • Mode: 17
+3.5
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 56.5 Model: 49.5 (u)
7-4 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 5-6
23.7
Raw: 24.4 • Adj: 23.7 • Mode: 21
-3.5
Spread
Money
Total
Bearcats
+3.5
+140
o56.5
Horned Frogs
-3.5
-166
u56.5
Model Picks
Cincinnati +3.5 (-115)
(65% Cover Probability)
UNDER 56.5 (-112)
(70% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
TCU +6 (-409)
(62% Cover Probability)
UNDER 67.5 (-301)
(87% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Cincinnati +3.5 (-115)
(65% Cover Probability)
UNDER 56.5 (-112)
(70% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
TCU +6 (-409)
(62% Cover Probability)
UNDER 67.5 (-301)
(87% Hit Probability)
Second Half
24.6
TCU -1.2
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: LEAN · Total: CONFIDENT
- Model Prob
- 64.2%
- Market Implied
- 80.4%
- Model Prob
- 86.6%
- Market Implied
- 75.1%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -4.2
- Total Delta
- -2.0
- Home Residual
- -4.7
- Away Residual
- +1.7
- Raw Total
- 46.8
- Adjusted Total
- 49.5
Team Form & Stats
Cincinnati
Record 7-4 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
25.8
Vegas Spread
+3.5
Passing Yds
209
Rushing Yds
207
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
1.3
TCU
Record 7-4 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
23.7
Vegas Spread
-3.5
Passing Yds
284
Rushing Yds
146
Pass TDs
2.0
Rush TDs
1.3
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Arizona |
L 24-30 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Utah |
L 14-45 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Baylor |
W 41-20 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Oklahoma State |
W 49-17 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs UCF |
W 20-11 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ BYU |
L 13-44 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Iowa State |
L 17-20 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ West Virginia |
W 23-17 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Baylor |
W 42-36 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Kansas State |
L 28-41 |
✗ |
o |
Second Half
24.6
TCU -1.2
Spread Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 64%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 87%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
56.5
Model Play Line
67.5
Model Projection
49.5
Edge
UNDER by 18.0
UNDER 87% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
14.0
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
OU 36.5
Model: 34.5 (u)
20.8
7-4 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 3-8
14.0
Raw: 17.7 • Adj: 14.0 • Mode: 21
+10
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 36.5 Model: 34.5 (u)
9-2 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 2-9
20.8
Raw: 19.4 • Adj: 20.8 • Mode: 17
-10
Spread
Money
Total
Tigers
+10
+350
o36.5
Sooners
-10
-455
u36.5
Model Picks
LSU +10 (-112)
(58% Cover Probability)
UNDER 36.5 (-105)
(56% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Oklahoma -1 (-421)
(63% Cover Probability)
UNDER 43.5 (-278)
(88% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
LSU +10 (-112)
(58% Cover Probability)
UNDER 36.5 (-105)
(56% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Oklahoma -1 (-421)
(63% Cover Probability)
UNDER 43.5 (-278)
(88% Hit Probability)
First Half
17.0
Oklahoma -1.4
Second Half
20.2
Oklahoma -0.4
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Oklahoma -1 (-421)
-3.2
- Model Prob
- 76.1%
- Market Implied
- 80.8%
- Model Prob
- 73.1%
- Market Implied
- 73.5%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +2.3
- Total Delta
- -2.2
- Home Residual
- +0.1
- Away Residual
- -3.6
- Raw Total
- 37.1
- Adjusted Total
- 34.7
Team Form & Stats
LSU
Record 7-4 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 3-8
Model Score
14.0
Vegas Spread
+10
Passing Yds
211
Rushing Yds
174
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
0.9
Oklahoma
Record 9-2 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 2-9
#8
Model Score
20.8
Vegas Spread
-10
Passing Yds
135
Rushing Yds
229
Pass TDs
1.0
Rush TDs
1.2
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Arkansas |
W 23-22 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Alabama |
L 9-20 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Texas A&M |
L 25-49 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Vanderbilt |
L 24-31 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs South Carolina |
W 20-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Alabama |
W 23-21 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Tennessee |
W 33-27 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Ole Miss |
L 26-34 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ South Carolina |
W 26-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Texas |
L 6-23 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
17.0
Oklahoma -1.4
Second Half
20.2
Oklahoma -0.4
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 76%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 73%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
36.5
Model Play Line
43.5
Model Projection
34.7
Edge
UNDER by 8.8
UNDER 73% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
23.7
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
OU 55
Model: 50.5 (u)
26.6
7-4 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 6-4
23.7
Raw: 22.5 • Adj: 23.7 • Mode: 17
-2.5
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 55 Model: 50.5 (u)
2-9 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 8-3
26.6
Raw: 26.0 • Adj: 26.6 • Mode: 31
+2.5
Spread
Money
Total
Tigers
-2.5
-148
o55
Razorbacks
+2.5
+124
u55
Model Picks
Missouri -2.5 (-115)
(37% Cover Probability)
UNDER 55 (-115)
(64% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Arkansas +12 (-411)
(81% Cover Probability)
UNDER 65.5 (-327)
(84% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Missouri -2.5 (-115)
(37% Cover Probability)
UNDER 55 (-115)
(64% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Arkansas +12 (-411)
(81% Cover Probability)
UNDER 65.5 (-327)
(84% Hit Probability)
First Half
22.2
Arkansas -2.2
Second Half
26.3
Arkansas -1.3
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · Arkansas +12 (-411) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Arkansas +12 (-411)
-0.4
- Model Prob
- 77.4%
- Market Implied
- 80.4%
- Model Prob
- 84.0%
- Market Implied
- 76.6%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -1.0
- Total Delta
- -0.8
- Home Residual
- +0.2
- Away Residual
- -1.4
- Raw Total
- 48.5
- Adjusted Total
- 50.4
Team Form & Stats
Missouri
Record 7-4 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 6-4
#23
Model Score
23.7
Vegas Spread
-2.5
Passing Yds
185
Rushing Yds
218
Pass TDs
1.4
Rush TDs
1.4
Arkansas
Record 2-9 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 8-3
Model Score
26.6
Vegas Spread
+2.5
Passing Yds
193
Rushing Yds
227
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
1.9
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Mississippi State |
W 49-27 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Texas A&M |
L 17-38 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Vanderbilt |
L 10-17 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Auburn |
W 23-17 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Alabama |
L 24-27 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ LSU |
L 22-23 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Mississippi State |
L 35-38 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Auburn |
L 24-33 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Texas A&M |
L 42-45 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Tennessee |
L 31-34 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
22.2
Arkansas -2.2
Second Half
26.3
Arkansas -1.3
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 77%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 84%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
Arkansas +12 (-411)
77%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
55
Model Play Line
65.5
Model Projection
50.4
Edge
UNDER by 15.1
UNDER 84% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
27.5
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
OU 55.5
Model: 55 (u)
27.7
8-3 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 4-7
27.5
Raw: 15.6 • Adj: 27.5 • Mode: 10
-2.5
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 55.5 Model: 55 (u)
4-7 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 5-6
27.7
Raw: 24.1 • Adj: 27.7 • Mode: 24
+2.5
Spread
Money
Total
Owls
-2.5
-125
o55.5
Flames
+2.5
+105
u55.5
Model Picks
Liberty +2.5 (-108)
(56% Cover Probability)
UNDER 55.5 (-110)
(51% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Liberty +12.5 (-501)
(78% Cover Probability)
UNDER 65.5 (-324)
(80% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Liberty +2.5 (-108)
(56% Cover Probability)
UNDER 55.5 (-110)
(51% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Liberty +12.5 (-501)
(78% Cover Probability)
UNDER 65.5 (-324)
(80% Hit Probability)
First Half
18.7
Liberty -4.7
Second Half
21.0
Liberty -3.8
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Liberty +12.5 (-501)
+2.4
- Model Prob
- 77.7%
- Market Implied
- 83.4%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 76.4%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +4.0
- Total Delta
- +6.0
- Home Residual
- +2.1
- Away Residual
- +8.3
- Raw Total
- 39.8
- Adjusted Total
- 55.2
Team Form & Stats
Kennesaw State
Record 8-3 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
27.5
Vegas Spread
-2.5
Passing Yds
146
Rushing Yds
187
Pass TDs
0.7
Rush TDs
1.1
Liberty
Record 4-7 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
27.7
Vegas Spread
+2.5
Passing Yds
128
Rushing Yds
278
Pass TDs
1.1
Rush TDs
1.9
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Jacksonville State |
L 26-35 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ New Mexico State |
W 24-21 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 28, 2025 |
vs UTEP |
W 33-20 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 21, 2025 |
@ Florida International |
W 45-26 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
vs Louisiana Tech |
W 35-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Florida International |
L 27-34 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Missouri State |
L 17-21 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Delaware |
W 59-30 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 8, 2025 |
@ UTEP |
W 19-8 |
✓ |
u |
| Sep 27, 2025 |
@ Old Dominion |
L 7-21 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
18.7
Liberty -4.7
Second Half
21.0
Liberty -3.8
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
55.5
Model Play Line
65.5
Model Projection
55.2
Edge
UNDER by 10.3
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
29.1
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
OU 56.5
Model: 48 (u)
19.0
5-6 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 7-4
29.1
Raw: 25.6 • Adj: 29.1 • Mode: 21
-13.5
Nov 29 • 3:30PM ET
VS
O/U 56.5 Model: 48 (u)
5-6 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 6-5
19.0
Raw: 19.6 • Adj: 19.0 • Mode: 24
+13.5
Spread
Money
Total
Nittany Lions
-13.5
-625
o56.5
Scarlet Knights
+13.5
+455
u56.5
Model Picks
Rutgers +13.5 (-112)
(59% Cover Probability)
UNDER 56.5 (-108)
(74% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Rutgers +23 (-313)
(80% Cover Probability)
UNDER 64.5 (-259)
(91% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Rutgers +13.5 (-112)
(59% Cover Probability)
UNDER 56.5 (-108)
(74% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Rutgers +23 (-313)
(80% Cover Probability)
UNDER 64.5 (-259)
(91% Hit Probability)
First Half
21.1
Penn State -2.9
Second Half
24.1
Penn State -3.1
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Rutgers +23 (-313)
+3.4
- Model Prob
- 77.4%
- Market Implied
- 75.8%
- Model Prob
- 75.5%
- Market Implied
- 72.1%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +1.9
- Total Delta
- -3.0
- Home Residual
- -3.8
- Away Residual
- -0.8
- Raw Total
- 45.2
- Adjusted Total
- 48.1
Team Form & Stats
Penn State
Record 5-6 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
29.1
Vegas Spread
-13.5
Passing Yds
176
Rushing Yds
227
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
1.8
Rutgers
Record 5-6 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
19.0
Vegas Spread
+13.5
Passing Yds
169
Rushing Yds
207
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
1.2
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Michigan State |
W 28-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Indiana |
L 24-27 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Ohio State |
L 14-38 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Iowa |
L 24-25 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Northwestern |
L 21-22 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Maryland |
W 35-20 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Illinois |
L 13-35 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Purdue |
W 27-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Oregon |
L 10-56 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 10, 2025 |
@ Washington |
L 19-38 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
21.1
Penn State -2.9
Second Half
24.1
Penn State -3.1
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 77%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 75%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
56.5
Model Play Line
64.5
Model Projection
48.1
Edge
UNDER by 16.4
UNDER 75% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
34.4
Nov 29 • 3:45PM ET
OU 53.5
Model: 53 (u)
18.8
10-1 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 5-6
34.4
Raw: 21.2 • Adj: 34.4 • Mode: 24
-21.5
Nov 29 • 3:45PM ET
VS
O/U 53.5 Model: 53 (u)
6-5 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 7-4
18.8
Raw: 16.3 • Adj: 18.8 • Mode: 14
+21.5
Spread
Money
Total
Dukes
-21.5
-2100
o53.5
Chanticleers
+21.5
+1100
u53.5
Model Picks
Coastal Carolina +21.5 (-108)
(64% Cover Probability)
UNDER 53.5 (-112)
(51% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Coastal Carolina +31.5 (-367)
(83% Cover Probability)
UNDER 63.5 (-380)
(79% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Coastal Carolina +21.5 (-108)
(64% Cover Probability)
UNDER 53.5 (-112)
(51% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Coastal Carolina +31.5 (-367)
(83% Cover Probability)
UNDER 63.5 (-380)
(79% Hit Probability)
First Half
17.2
James Madison -2.4
Second Half
20.4
James Madison -2.6
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · Coastal Carolina +31.5 (-367) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 3:45PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Coastal Carolina +31.5 (-367)
+5.9
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 78.6%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 79.2%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +2.4
- Total Delta
- +6.0
- Home Residual
- +6.0
- Away Residual
- +9.3
- Raw Total
- 37.6
- Adjusted Total
- 53.1
Team Form & Stats
James Madison
Record 10-1 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 5-6
#21
Model Score
34.4
Vegas Spread
-21.5
Passing Yds
171
Rushing Yds
199
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
1.3
Coastal Carolina
Record 6-5 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
18.8
Vegas Spread
+21.5
Passing Yds
132
Rushing Yds
197
Pass TDs
1.0
Rush TDs
1.0
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs App State |
W 58-10 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Marshall |
W 35-23 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 28, 2025 |
@ Texas State |
W 52-20 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Old Dominion |
W 63-27 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Louisiana |
W 24-14 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Georgia Southern |
L 40-45 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Georgia State |
W 40-27 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 30, 2025 |
vs Marshall |
W 44-27 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ App State |
W 45-37 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs UL Monroe |
W 23-8 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
17.2
James Madison -2.4
Second Half
20.4
James Madison -2.6
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
Coastal Carolina +31.5 (-367)
78%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
53.5
Model Play Line
63.5
Model Projection
53.1
Edge
UNDER by 10.4
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
19.4
Nov 29 • 4:30PM ET
OU 50.5
Model: 40.5 (u)
21.1
5-6 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 4-7
19.4
Raw: 17.5 • Adj: 19.4 • Mode: 21
+1.5
Nov 29 • 4:30PM ET
VS
O/U 50.5 Model: 40.5 (u)
3-8 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 4-7
21.1
Raw: 23.5 • Adj: 21.1 • Mode: 22
-1.5
Spread
Money
Total
Seminoles
+1.5
-108
o50.5
Gators
-1.5
-112
u50.5
Model Picks
Florida -1.5 (+100)
(51% Cover Probability)
UNDER 50.5 (-112)
(77% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Florida +8.5 (-457)
(75% Cover Probability)
UNDER 59.5 (-337)
(93% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Florida -1.5 (+100)
(51% Cover Probability)
UNDER 50.5 (-112)
(77% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Florida +8.5 (-457)
(75% Cover Probability)
UNDER 59.5 (-337)
(93% Hit Probability)
First Half
19.3
Florida -3.9
Second Half
21.6
Florida -2.2
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 4:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Florida +8.5 (-457)
+0.2
- Model Prob
- 72.7%
- Market Implied
- 82.0%
- Model Prob
- 77.2%
- Market Implied
- 77.1%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -3.2
- Total Delta
- -5.0
- Home Residual
- -6.4
- Away Residual
- -1.3
- Raw Total
- 40.9
- Adjusted Total
- 40.6
Team Form & Stats
Florida State
Record 5-6 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
19.4
Vegas Spread
+1.5
Passing Yds
164
Rushing Yds
197
Pass TDs
1.1
Rush TDs
1.1
Florida
Record 3-8 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
21.1
Vegas Spread
-1.5
Passing Yds
262
Rushing Yds
180
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
1.5
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Virginia Tech |
W 34-14 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Clemson |
L 10-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Wake Forest |
W 42-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Stanford |
L 13-20 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Pittsburgh |
L 31-34 |
✗ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Ole Miss |
L 24-34 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Kentucky |
L 7-38 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Georgia |
L 20-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Mississippi State |
W 23-21 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Texas A&M |
L 17-34 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
19.3
Florida -3.9
Second Half
21.6
Florida -2.2
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 73%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 77%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
50.5
Model Play Line
59.5
Model Projection
40.6
Edge
UNDER by 18.9
UNDER 77% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
13.7
Nov 29 • 6:30PM ET
OU 41.5
Model: 38 (u)
24.4
2-9 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 4-7
13.7
Raw: 19.5 • Adj: 13.7 • Mode: 14
+13.5
Nov 29 • 6:30PM ET
VS
O/U 41.5 Model: 38 (u)
5-6 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 3-8
24.4
Raw: 24.7 • Adj: 24.4 • Mode: 24
-13.5
Spread
Money
Total
Beavers
+13.5
+440
o41.5
Cougars
-13.5
-600
u41.5
Model Picks
Oregon State +13.5 (-108)
(56% Cover Probability)
UNDER 41.5 (-115)
(60% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Washington State -3.5 (-366)
(66% Cover Probability)
UNDER 53.5 (-426)
(76% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Oregon State +13.5 (-108)
(56% Cover Probability)
UNDER 41.5 (-115)
(60% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Washington State -3.5 (-366)
(66% Cover Probability)
UNDER 53.5 (-426)
(76% Hit Probability)
First Half
20.4
Washington State -2.0
Second Half
23.8
Washington State -3.2
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 6:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Washington State -3.5 (-366)
-2.8
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 78.5%
- Model Prob
- 76.3%
- Market Implied
- 81.0%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +2.8
- Total Delta
- -5.3
- Home Residual
- -2.0
- Away Residual
- -6.8
- Raw Total
- 44.2
- Adjusted Total
- 38.0
Team Form & Stats
Oregon State
Record 2-9 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
13.7
Vegas Spread
+13.5
Passing Yds
154
Rushing Yds
228
Pass TDs
0.9
Rush TDs
1.6
Washington State
Record 5-6 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 3-8
Model Score
24.4
Vegas Spread
-13.5
Passing Yds
194
Rushing Yds
236
Pass TDs
1.7
Rush TDs
1.5
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Tulsa |
L 14-31 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Sam Houston |
L 17-21 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Washington State |
W 10-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Wake Forest |
L 14-39 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ App State |
L 23-27 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Louisiana Tech |
W 28-3 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Oregon State |
L 7-10 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Toledo |
W 28-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Virginia |
L 20-22 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Ole Miss |
L 21-24 |
✓ |
u |
First Half
20.4
Washington State -2.0
Second Half
23.8
Washington State -3.2
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 76%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
41.5
Model Play Line
53.5
Model Projection
38.0
Edge
UNDER by 15.5
UNDER 76% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
22.2
Nov 29 • 7:00PM ET
OU 52.5
Model: 48 (u)
25.6
3-8 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 5-6
22.2
Raw: 21.0 • Adj: 22.2 • Mode: 17
+9.5
Nov 29 • 7:00PM ET
VS
O/U 52.5 Model: 48 (u)
9-2 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 4-7
25.6
Raw: 16.8 • Adj: 25.6 • Mode: 14
-9.5
Spread
Money
Total
Hokies
+9.5
+270
o52.5
Cavaliers
-9.5
-340
u52.5
Model Picks
Virginia Tech +9.5 (-108)
(65% Cover Probability)
UNDER 52.5 (-105)
(65% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Virginia Tech +19.5 (-364)
(84% Cover Probability)
UNDER 62.5 (-325)
(87% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Virginia Tech +9.5 (-108)
(65% Cover Probability)
UNDER 52.5 (-105)
(65% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Virginia Tech +19.5 (-364)
(84% Cover Probability)
UNDER 62.5 (-325)
(87% Hit Probability)
First Half
18.3
Virginia Tech -2.9
Second Half
19.5
Virginia Tech -1.3
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · Virginia Tech +19.5 (-364) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 7:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Virginia Tech +19.5 (-364)
+6.0
- Model Prob
- 83.8%
- Market Implied
- 78.4%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 76.5%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +1.3
- Total Delta
- +1.2
- Home Residual
- +2.0
- Away Residual
- -0.1
- Raw Total
- 37.8
- Adjusted Total
- 47.8
Team Form & Stats
Virginia Tech
Record 3-8 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
22.2
Vegas Spread
+9.5
Passing Yds
135
Rushing Yds
248
Pass TDs
1.0
Rush TDs
1.4
Virginia
Record 9-2 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 4-7
#19
Model Score
25.6
Vegas Spread
-9.5
Passing Yds
179
Rushing Yds
190
Pass TDs
1.1
Rush TDs
1.2
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Florida State |
L 14-34 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Louisville |
L 16-28 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 24, 2025 |
vs California |
W 42-34 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Georgia Tech |
L 20-35 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
vs Wake Forest |
L 23-30 |
✗ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Duke |
W 34-17 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Wake Forest |
L 9-16 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ California |
W 31-21 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ North Carolina |
W 17-16 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Washington State |
W 22-20 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
18.3
Virginia Tech -2.9
Second Half
19.5
Virginia Tech -1.3
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 84%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
Virginia Tech +19.5 (-364)
84%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
52.5
Model Play Line
62.5
Model Projection
47.8
Edge
UNDER by 14.7
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
19.2
Nov 29 • 7:00PM ET
OU 48.5
Model: 39.5 (u)
20.3
4-7 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 4-7
19.2
Raw: 17.9 • Adj: 19.2 • Mode: 17
+4
Nov 29 • 7:00PM ET
VS
O/U 48.5 Model: 39.5 (u)
3-8 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 6-5
20.3
Raw: 17.0 • Adj: 20.3 • Mode: 18
-4
Spread
Money
Total
Terrapins
+4
+160
o48.5
Spartans
-4
-192
u48.5
Model Picks
Maryland +4 (-110)
(58% Cover Probability)
UNDER 48.5 (-115)
(78% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Michigan State +5.5 (-432)
(68% Cover Probability)
UNDER 59.5 (-328)
(92% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Maryland +4 (-110)
(58% Cover Probability)
UNDER 48.5 (-115)
(78% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Michigan State +5.5 (-432)
(68% Cover Probability)
UNDER 59.5 (-328)
(92% Hit Probability)
First Half
15.7
Maryland -0.3
Second Half
19.2
Maryland -0.6
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 7:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: MEDIUM · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Michigan State +5.5 (-432)
-2.9
- Model Prob
- 59.5%
- Market Implied
- 81.2%
- Model Prob
- 92.5%
- Market Implied
- 76.6%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +0.8
- Total Delta
- -3.4
- Home Residual
- -2.0
- Away Residual
- -3.3
- Raw Total
- 34.9
- Adjusted Total
- 39.4
Team Form & Stats
Maryland
Record 4-7 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
19.2
Vegas Spread
+4
Passing Yds
165
Rushing Yds
194
Pass TDs
1.1
Rush TDs
1.0
Michigan State
Record 3-8 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
20.3
Vegas Spread
-4
Passing Yds
159
Rushing Yds
176
Pass TDs
1.0
Rush TDs
0.9
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Illinois |
L 6-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Rutgers |
L 20-35 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Indiana |
L 10-55 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ UCLA |
L 17-20 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Nebraska |
L 31-34 |
✓ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Penn State |
L 10-28 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Minnesota |
L 20-23 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Michigan |
L 20-31 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Indiana |
L 13-38 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs UCLA |
L 13-38 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
15.7
Maryland -0.3
Second Half
19.2
Maryland -0.6
Spread Confidence
MEDIUM
Model Probability: 60%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 92%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
48.5
Model Play Line
59.5
Model Projection
39.4
Edge
UNDER by 20.1
UNDER 92% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
17.8
Nov 29 • 7:00PM ET
OU 60.5
Model: 61.5 (o)
43.5
5-6 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 7-4
17.8
Raw: 19.5 • Adj: 17.8 • Mode: 17
+28
Nov 29 • 7:00PM ET
VS
O/U 60.5 Model: 61.5 (o)
8-3 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 7-4
43.5
Raw: 30.8 • Adj: 43.5 • Mode: 38
-28
Spread
Money
Total
Owls
+28
+2000
o60.5
Bulls
-28
-6500
u60.5
Model Picks
Rice +28 (-102)
(55% Cover Probability)
OVER 60.5 (-105)
(52% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
South Florida -18 (-359)
(65% Cover Probability)
OVER 49.5 (-352)
(65% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Rice +28 (-102)
(55% Cover Probability)
OVER 60.5 (-105)
(52% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
South Florida -18 (-359)
(65% Cover Probability)
OVER 49.5 (-352)
(65% Hit Probability)
First Half
24.3
South Florida -5.5
Second Half
26.0
South Florida -5.8
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 7:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LOW
Spread
South Florida -18 (-359)
-2.3
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 78.2%
- Model Prob
- 64.9%
- Market Implied
- 77.9%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +6.0
- Total Delta
- +6.0
- Home Residual
- +13.0
- Away Residual
- +0.3
- Raw Total
- 50.3
- Adjusted Total
- 61.3
Team Form & Stats
Rice
Record 5-6 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
17.8
Vegas Spread
+28
Passing Yds
225
Rushing Yds
173
Pass TDs
1.3
Rush TDs
1.0
South Florida
Record 8-3 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 7-4
Model Score
43.5
Vegas Spread
-28
Passing Yds
130
Rushing Yds
345
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
2.4
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs UAB |
W 24-17 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 31, 2025 |
vs Memphis |
L 14-38 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs UConn |
W 37-34 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ UTSA |
L 13-61 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
vs Florida Atlantic |
L 21-27 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Navy |
L 38-41 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 6, 2025 |
vs UTSA |
W 55-23 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Memphis |
L 31-34 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Florida Atlantic |
W 48-13 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 10, 2025 |
@ North Texas |
W 63-36 |
✓ |
o |
First Half
24.3
South Florida -5.5
Second Half
26.0
South Florida -5.8
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
LOW
Model Probability: 65%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
60.5
Model Play Line
49.5
Model Projection
61.3
Edge
OVER by 11.8
OVER 65% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
19.9
Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET
OU 45
Model: 45 (o)
25.2
6-5 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 6-5
19.9
Raw: 13.0 • Adj: 19.9 • Mode: 14
+7
Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET
VS
O/U 45 Model: 45 (o)
7-4 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 5-6
25.2
Raw: 24.1 • Adj: 25.2 • Mode: 21
-7
Spread
Money
Total
Wildcats
+7
+250
o45
Fighting Illini
-7
-310
u45
Model Picks
Northwestern +7 (-112)
(54% Cover Probability)
OVER 45 (-112)
(50% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Illinois +3 (-397)
(69% Cover Probability)
OVER 34.5 (-409)
(63% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Northwestern +7 (-112)
(54% Cover Probability)
OVER 45 (-112)
(50% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Illinois +3 (-397)
(69% Cover Probability)
OVER 34.5 (-409)
(63% Hit Probability)
First Half
17.5
Illinois -5.7
Second Half
19.7
Illinois -5.5
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 7:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LOW
Spread
Illinois +3 (-397)
-1.7
- Model Prob
- 68.0%
- Market Implied
- 79.9%
- Model Prob
- 63.0%
- Market Implied
- 80.4%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -4.9
- Total Delta
- +4.5
- Home Residual
- -0.3
- Away Residual
- +7.0
- Raw Total
- 37.1
- Adjusted Total
- 45.1
Team Form & Stats
Northwestern
Record 6-5 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
19.9
Vegas Spread
+7
Passing Yds
160
Rushing Yds
170
Pass TDs
0.7
Rush TDs
0.9
Illinois
Record 7-4 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
25.2
Vegas Spread
-7
Passing Yds
222
Rushing Yds
179
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
1.7
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Michigan |
L 22-24 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 7, 2025 |
@ USC |
L 17-38 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Nebraska |
L 21-28 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Purdue |
W 19-0 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Penn State |
W 22-21 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Maryland |
W 24-6 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Rutgers |
W 35-13 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Washington |
L 25-42 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Ohio State |
L 16-34 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
@ Purdue |
W 43-27 |
✓ |
o |
First Half
17.5
Illinois -5.7
Second Half
19.7
Illinois -5.5
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 68%
Total Confidence
LOW
Model Probability: 63%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
45
Model Play Line
34.5
Model Projection
45.1
Edge
OVER by 10.6
OVER 63% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
19.7
Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET
OU 59.5
Model: 55.5 (u)
35.9
3-8 • ATS: 3-8 • O/U: 6-5
19.7
Raw: 14.8 • Adj: 19.7 • Mode: 14
+21.5
Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET
VS
O/U 59.5 Model: 55.5 (u)
8-3 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 6-5
35.9
Raw: 30.7 • Adj: 35.9 • Mode: 31
-21.5
Spread
Money
Total
Bruins
+21.5
+1000
o59.5
Trojans
-21.5
-1800
u59.5
Model Picks
UCLA +21.5 (-108)
(64% Cover Probability)
UNDER 59.5 (-105)
(62% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
UCLA +31.5 (-339)
(84% Cover Probability)
UNDER 67.5 (-269)
(88% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
UCLA +21.5 (-108)
(64% Cover Probability)
UNDER 59.5 (-105)
(62% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
UCLA +31.5 (-339)
(84% Cover Probability)
UNDER 67.5 (-269)
(88% Hit Probability)
Second Half
24.8
USC -8.8
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · UCLA +31.5 (-339) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 7:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 77.2%
- Model Prob
- 75.5%
- Market Implied
- 72.9%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -1.7
- Total Delta
- +1.9
- Home Residual
- +0.1
- Away Residual
- +2.7
- Raw Total
- 45.5
- Adjusted Total
- 55.7
Team Form & Stats
UCLA
Record 3-8 · ATS 3-8 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
19.7
Vegas Spread
+21.5
Passing Yds
200
Rushing Yds
164
Pass TDs
1.1
Rush TDs
0.6
USC
Record 8-3 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 6-5
#16
Model Score
35.9
Vegas Spread
-21.5
Passing Yds
284
Rushing Yds
203
Pass TDs
2.1
Rush TDs
1.7
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Ohio State |
L 10-48 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Nebraska |
L 21-28 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Indiana |
L 6-56 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Maryland |
W 20-17 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Michigan State |
W 38-13 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Iowa |
W 26-21 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 7, 2025 |
vs Northwestern |
W 38-17 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Nebraska |
W 21-17 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Notre Dame |
L 24-34 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Michigan |
W 31-13 |
✓ |
u |
Second Half
24.8
USC -8.8
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 75%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
UCLA +31.5 (-339)
78%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
59.5
Model Play Line
67.5
Model Projection
55.7
Edge
UNDER by 11.8
UNDER 75% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
23.5
Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET
OU 46.5
Model: 41 (u)
17.3
9-2 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 4-7
23.5
Raw: 22.1 • Adj: 23.5 • Mode: 24
-6
Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET
VS
O/U 46.5 Model: 41 (u)
5-6 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 4-7
17.3
Raw: 21.1 • Adj: 17.3 • Mode: 21
+6
Spread
Money
Total
Crimson Tide
-6
-218
o46.5
Tigers
+6
+180
u46.5
Model Picks
Alabama -6 (-108)
(51% Cover Probability)
UNDER 46.5 (-112)
(66% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Auburn +16 (-410)
(70% Cover Probability)
UNDER 56.5 (-331)
(87% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Alabama -6 (-108)
(51% Cover Probability)
UNDER 46.5 (-112)
(66% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Auburn +16 (-410)
(70% Cover Probability)
UNDER 56.5 (-331)
(87% Hit Probability)
First Half
20.1
Alabama -0.7
Second Half
23.0
Alabama -0.2
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 7:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 80.4%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 76.8%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +4.1
- Total Delta
- -3.4
- Home Residual
- -6.2
- Away Residual
- +0.5
- Raw Total
- 43.2
- Adjusted Total
- 40.8
Team Form & Stats
Alabama
Record 9-2 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 4-7
#10
Model Score
23.5
Vegas Spread
-6
Passing Yds
187
Rushing Yds
203
Pass TDs
1.1
Rush TDs
1.6
Auburn
Record 5-6 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
17.3
Vegas Spread
+6
Passing Yds
190
Rushing Yds
223
Pass TDs
1.4
Rush TDs
1.2
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Oklahoma |
L 21-23 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs LSU |
W 20-9 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ South Carolina |
W 29-22 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Tennessee |
W 37-20 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Missouri |
W 27-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Vanderbilt |
L 38-45 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Kentucky |
L 3-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Arkansas |
W 33-24 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Missouri |
L 17-23 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Georgia |
L 10-20 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
20.1
Alabama -0.7
Second Half
23.0
Alabama -0.2
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
46.5
Model Play Line
56.5
Model Projection
40.8
Edge
UNDER by 15.7
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
12.4
Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET
OU 53.5
Model: 47.5 (u)
35.0
1-10 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 6-5
12.4
Raw: 19.5 • Adj: 12.4 • Mode: 17
+29.5
Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET
VS
O/U 53.5 Model: 47.5 (u)
9-2 • ATS: 5-5-1 • O/U: 4-7
35.0
Raw: 24.6 • Adj: 35.0 • Mode: 24
-29.5
Spread
Money
Total
49ers
+29.5
+2200
o53.5
Green Wave
-29.5
-8000
u53.5
Model Picks
Charlotte +29.5 (-105)
(67% Cover Probability)
UNDER 53.5 (-108)
(68% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Charlotte +39.5 (-328)
(84% Cover Probability)
UNDER 62.5 (-360)
(90% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Charlotte +29.5 (-105)
(67% Cover Probability)
UNDER 53.5 (-108)
(68% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Charlotte +39.5 (-328)
(84% Cover Probability)
UNDER 62.5 (-360)
(90% Hit Probability)
First Half
21.0
Tulane -2.4
Second Half
23.0
Tulane -2.6
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · Charlotte +39.5 (-328) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 7:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
Charlotte +39.5 (-328)
+6.9
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 76.6%
- Model Prob
- 77.2%
- Market Implied
- 78.3%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +5.3
- Total Delta
- -1.1
- Home Residual
- +3.3
- Away Residual
- -5.0
- Raw Total
- 44.1
- Adjusted Total
- 47.5
Team Form & Stats
Charlotte
Record 1-10 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
12.4
Vegas Spread
+29.5
Passing Yds
206
Rushing Yds
165
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
1.1
Tulane
Record 9-2 · ATS 5-5-1 · O/U 4-7
#24
Model Score
35.0
Vegas Spread
-29.5
Passing Yds
214
Rushing Yds
212
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
1.6
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs UTSA |
L 7-28 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ East Carolina |
L 22-48 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 24, 2025 |
vs North Texas |
L 20-54 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Temple |
L 14-49 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Army |
L 7-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Florida Atlantic |
W 35-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 7, 2025 |
@ Memphis |
W 38-32 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 30, 2025 |
@ UTSA |
L 26-48 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Army |
W 24-17 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
vs East Carolina |
W 26-19 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
21.0
Tulane -2.4
Second Half
23.0
Tulane -2.6
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 77%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
Charlotte +39.5 (-328)
78%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
53.5
Model Play Line
62.5
Model Projection
47.5
Edge
UNDER by 15.0
UNDER 77% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
19.3
Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET
OU 48
Model: 41 (u)
21.5
4-7 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 4-7
19.3
Raw: 21.1 • Adj: 19.3 • Mode: 17
+7.5
Nov 29 • 7:30PM ET
VS
O/U 48 Model: 41 (u)
6-5 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 6-5
21.5
Raw: 18.6 • Adj: 21.5 • Mode: 21
-7.5
Spread
Money
Total
Tar Heels
+7.5
+225
o48
Wolfpack
-7.5
-278
u48
Model Picks
North Carolina +7.5 (-105)
(64% Cover Probability)
UNDER 48 (-105)
(71% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
North Carolina +17.5 (-352)
(84% Cover Probability)
UNDER 57.5 (-339)
(90% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
North Carolina +7.5 (-105)
(64% Cover Probability)
UNDER 48 (-105)
(71% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
North Carolina +17.5 (-352)
(84% Cover Probability)
UNDER 57.5 (-339)
(90% Hit Probability)
First Half
18.7
North Carolina -0.7
Second Half
20.9
North Carolina -1.7
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · North Carolina +17.5 (-352) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 7:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LEAN
Spread
North Carolina +17.5 (-352)
+5.2
- Model Prob
- 84.2%
- Market Implied
- 77.9%
- Model Prob
- 78.1%
- Market Implied
- 77.2%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +1.0
- Total Delta
- -2.6
- Home Residual
- -1.3
- Away Residual
- -2.9
- Raw Total
- 39.7
- Adjusted Total
- 40.8
Team Form & Stats
North Carolina
Record 4-7 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
19.3
Vegas Spread
+7.5
Passing Yds
159
Rushing Yds
224
Pass TDs
1.1
Rush TDs
1.5
NC State
Record 6-5 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
21.5
Vegas Spread
-7.5
Passing Yds
216
Rushing Yds
168
Pass TDs
1.3
Rush TDs
1.2
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Wake Forest |
L 12-28 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Stanford |
W 20-15 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 31, 2025 |
@ Syracuse |
W 27-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Virginia |
L 16-17 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 17, 2025 |
@ California |
L 18-21 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Miami |
L 7-41 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Georgia Tech |
W 48-36 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Pittsburgh |
L 34-53 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Notre Dame |
L 7-36 |
✗ |
u |
| Sep 27, 2025 |
vs Virginia Tech |
L 21-23 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
18.7
North Carolina -0.7
Second Half
20.9
North Carolina -1.7
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 84%
Total Confidence
LEAN
Model Probability: 78%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
North Carolina +17.5 (-352)
84%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
48
Model Play Line
57.5
Model Projection
40.8
Edge
UNDER by 16.7
UNDER 78% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
30.6
Nov 29 • 8:00PM ET
OU 52.5
Model: 50 (u)
19.3
8-3 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 3-8
30.6
Raw: 26.0 • Adj: 30.6 • Mode: 24
-13.5
Nov 29 • 8:00PM ET
VS
O/U 52.5 Model: 50 (u)
6-5 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 3-8
19.3
Raw: 18.0 • Adj: 19.3 • Mode: 14
+13.5
Spread
Money
Total
Mustangs
-13.5
-520
o52.5
Golden Bears
+13.5
+390
u52.5
Model Picks
California +13.5 (-112)
(55% Cover Probability)
UNDER 52.5 (-108)
(58% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
California +23.5 (-403)
(75% Cover Probability)
UNDER 62.5 (-327)
(82% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
California +13.5 (-112)
(55% Cover Probability)
UNDER 52.5 (-108)
(58% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
California +23.5 (-403)
(75% Cover Probability)
UNDER 62.5 (-327)
(82% Hit Probability)
Second Half
23.2
SMU -5.2
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 8:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
California +23.5 (-403)
+2.1
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 80.1%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 76.6%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +1.9
- Total Delta
- +2.1
- Home Residual
- +0.1
- Away Residual
- +3.1
- Raw Total
- 44.0
- Adjusted Total
- 49.9
Team Form & Stats
SMU
Record 8-3 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 3-8
Model Score
30.6
Vegas Spread
-13.5
Passing Yds
212
Rushing Yds
226
Pass TDs
1.5
Rush TDs
1.7
California
Record 6-5 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 3-8
Model Score
19.3
Vegas Spread
+13.5
Passing Yds
163
Rushing Yds
207
Pass TDs
1.3
Rush TDs
1.0
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Boston College |
W 45-13 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Miami |
W 26-20 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Wake Forest |
L 12-13 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Clemson |
W 35-24 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Stanford |
W 34-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Louisville |
W 29-26 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Virginia |
L 21-31 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 24, 2025 |
@ Virginia Tech |
L 34-42 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 17, 2025 |
vs North Carolina |
W 21-18 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
vs Duke |
L 21-45 |
✗ |
o |
Second Half
23.2
SMU -5.2
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
52.5
Model Play Line
62.5
Model Projection
49.9
Edge
UNDER by 12.6
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
30.5
Nov 29 • 9:00PM ET
OU 53.5
Model: 52.5 (u)
21.8
9-2 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 6-5
30.5
Raw: 22.1 • Adj: 30.5 • Mode: 24
-7.5
Nov 29 • 9:00PM ET
VS
O/U 53.5 Model: 52.5 (u)
3-8 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 3-8
21.8
Raw: 20.1 • Adj: 21.8 • Mode: 14
+7.5
Spread
Money
Total
Rebels
-7.5
-325
o53.5
Wolf Pack
+7.5
+260
u53.5
Model Picks
UNLV -7.5 (-112)
(53% Cover Probability)
UNDER 53.5 (-112)
(54% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Nevada +17.5 (-338)
(71% Cover Probability)
UNDER 63.5 (-361)
(80% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
UNLV -7.5 (-112)
(53% Cover Probability)
UNDER 53.5 (-112)
(54% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Nevada +17.5 (-338)
(71% Cover Probability)
UNDER 63.5 (-361)
(80% Hit Probability)
First Half
19.7
UNLV -0.5
Second Half
22.5
UNLV -1.5
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 9:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Nevada +17.5 (-338)
-1.1
- Model Prob
- 78.4%
- Market Implied
- 77.2%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 78.3%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +5.2
- Total Delta
- +4.2
- Home Residual
- -0.8
- Away Residual
- +7.4
- Raw Total
- 42.2
- Adjusted Total
- 52.3
Team Form & Stats
UNLV
Record 9-2 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
30.5
Vegas Spread
-7.5
Passing Yds
158
Rushing Yds
227
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
1.5
Nevada
Record 3-8 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 3-8
Model Score
21.8
Vegas Spread
+7.5
Passing Yds
174
Rushing Yds
198
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
1.3
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Utah State |
W 29-26 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Colorado State |
W 42-10 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs New Mexico |
L 35-40 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Boise State |
L 31-56 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Air Force |
W 51-48 |
✗ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs San José State |
W 55-10 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ Utah State |
L 14-51 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 24, 2025 |
vs Boise State |
L 3-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ New Mexico |
L 22-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs San Diego State |
L 10-44 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
19.7
UNLV -0.5
Second Half
22.5
UNLV -1.5
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 78%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
53.5
Model Play Line
63.5
Model Projection
52.3
Edge
UNDER by 11.2
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
39.1
Nov 29 • 10:30PM ET
OU 50.5
Model: 51 (o)
12.1
9-2 • ATS: 6-5 • O/U: 5-6
39.1
Raw: 24.8 • Adj: 39.1 • Mode: 24
-32.5
Nov 29 • 10:30PM ET
VS
O/U 50.5 Model: 51 (o)
4-7 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 5-6
12.1
Raw: 15.1 • Adj: 12.1 • Mode: 7
+32.5
Spread
Money
Total
Fighting Irish
-32.5
-9000
o50.5
Cardinal
+32.5
+2500
u50.5
Model Picks
Stanford +32.5 (-110)
(64% Cover Probability)
OVER 50.5 (-108)
(52% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Stanford +42.5 (-376)
(84% Cover Probability)
OVER 39.5 (-392)
(65% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Stanford +32.5 (-110)
(64% Cover Probability)
OVER 50.5 (-108)
(52% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Stanford +42.5 (-376)
(84% Cover Probability)
OVER 39.5 (-392)
(65% Hit Probability)
First Half
18.0
Notre Dame -4.4
Second Half
21.9
Notre Dame -5.3
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · Stanford +42.5 (-376) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 10:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: LOW
Spread
Stanford +42.5 (-376)
+5.4
- Model Prob
- 83.7%
- Market Implied
- 79.0%
- Model Prob
- 64.6%
- Market Implied
- 79.7%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +6.0
- Total Delta
- +6.0
- Home Residual
- -0.3
- Away Residual
- +9.3
- Raw Total
- 39.9
- Adjusted Total
- 51.2
Team Form & Stats
Notre Dame
Record 9-2 · ATS 6-5 · O/U 5-6
#9
Model Score
39.1
Vegas Spread
-32.5
Passing Yds
180
Rushing Yds
228
Pass TDs
1.4
Rush TDs
1.7
Stanford
Record 4-7 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 5-6
Model Score
12.1
Vegas Spread
+32.5
Passing Yds
141
Rushing Yds
204
Pass TDs
0.9
Rush TDs
0.9
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Pittsburgh |
W 37-15 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Navy |
W 49-10 |
✓ |
o |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Boston College |
W 25-10 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs USC |
W 34-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs NC State |
W 36-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
@ North Carolina |
L 15-20 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Pittsburgh |
L 20-35 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
@ Miami |
L 7-42 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
vs Florida State |
W 20-13 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ SMU |
L 10-34 |
✗ |
u |
First Half
18.0
Notre Dame -4.4
Second Half
21.9
Notre Dame -5.3
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 84%
Total Confidence
LOW
Model Probability: 65%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
Stanford +42.5 (-376)
84%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
50.5
Model Play Line
39.5
Model Projection
51.2
Edge
OVER by 11.7
OVER 65% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
18.1
Nov 29 • 10:30PM ET
OU 46.5
Model: 40 (u)
22.1
7-4 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 4-7
18.1
Raw: 19.5 • Adj: 18.1 • Mode: 17
-3
Nov 29 • 10:30PM ET
VS
O/U 46.5 Model: 40 (u)
3-8 • ATS: 4-7 • O/U: 6-5
22.1
Raw: 26.5 • Adj: 22.1 • Mode: 24
+3
Spread
Money
Total
Bulldogs
-3
-170
o46.5
Spartans
+3
+142
u46.5
Model Picks
Fresno State -3 (-112)
(33% Cover Probability)
UNDER 46.5 (-112)
(68% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
San José State +12 (-315)
(84% Cover Probability)
UNDER 56.5 (-362)
(88% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Fresno State -3 (-112)
(33% Cover Probability)
UNDER 46.5 (-112)
(68% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
San José State +12 (-315)
(84% Cover Probability)
UNDER 56.5 (-362)
(88% Hit Probability)
First Half
21.3
San José State -3.5
Second Half
24.7
San José State -3.5
Betting Overview
BEST BET · Spread · San José State +12 (-315) · HIGH
Top recommended play highlighted below.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 10:30PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
San José State +12 (-315)
-1.0
- Model Prob
- 76.1%
- Market Implied
- 75.9%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 78.4%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- -0.7
- Total Delta
- -6.0
- Home Residual
- -4.0
- Away Residual
- -5.6
- Raw Total
- 46.0
- Adjusted Total
- 40.1
Team Form & Stats
Fresno State
Record 7-4 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
18.1
Vegas Spread
-3
Passing Yds
200
Rushing Yds
186
Pass TDs
1.2
Rush TDs
1.1
San José State
Record 3-8 · ATS 4-7 · O/U 6-5
Model Score
22.1
Vegas Spread
+3
Passing Yds
266
Rushing Yds
191
Pass TDs
1.9
Rush TDs
1.5
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
vs Wyoming |
W 24-3 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ Boise State |
W 30-7 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs San Diego State |
L 0-23 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 10, 2025 |
@ Colorado State |
L 21-49 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 4, 2025 |
vs Nevada |
W 20-17 |
✗ |
u |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Nevada |
L 10-55 |
✗ |
o |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs Air Force |
L 16-26 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
vs Hawai'i |
W 45-38 |
✓ |
o |
| Oct 17, 2025 |
@ Utah State |
L 25-30 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
@ Wyoming |
L 28-35 |
✗ |
o |
First Half
21.3
San José State -3.5
Second Half
24.7
San José State -3.5
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 76%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
Recommended Bets
SPREAD
San José State +12 (-315)
76%
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
46.5
Model Play Line
56.5
Model Projection
40.1
Edge
UNDER by 16.4
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
18.5
Nov 29 • 11:00PM ET
OU 44.5
Model: 43.5 (u)
25.0
4-7 • ATS: 5-6 • O/U: 2-9
18.5
Raw: 19.4 • Adj: 18.5 • Mode: 27
+7.5
Nov 29 • 11:00PM ET
VS
O/U 44.5 Model: 43.5 (u)
7-4 • ATS: 7-4 • O/U: 4-7
25.0
Raw: 14.8 • Adj: 25.0 • Mode: 7
-7.5
Spread
Money
Total
Cowboys
+7.5
+250
o44.5
Rainbow Warriors
-7.5
-310
u44.5
Model Picks
Wyoming +7.5 (-110)
(52% Cover Probability)
UNDER 44.5 (-108)
(53% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Hawai'i +2.5 (-417)
(71% Cover Probability)
UNDER 54.5 (-362)
(81% Hit Probability)
Model Picks
Wyoming +7.5 (-110)
(52% Cover Probability)
UNDER 44.5 (-108)
(53% Hit Probability)
Safe Picks
Hawai'i +2.5 (-417)
(71% Cover Probability)
UNDER 54.5 (-362)
(81% Hit Probability)
First Half
15.9
Wyoming -1.9
Second Half
18.3
Wyoming -2.7
Betting Overview
Model confidence summary for this matchup.
Kickoff
11/29/2025 • 11:00PM ET
Model Edge
Spread: HIGH · Total: CONFIDENT
Spread
Hawai'i +2.5 (-417)
-1.0
- Model Prob
- 68.0%
- Market Implied
- 80.7%
- Model Prob
- 78.7%
- Market Implied
- 78.4%
Residual Adjustments
- Margin Delta
- +6.0
- Total Delta
- +4.2
- Home Residual
- +10.2
- Away Residual
- -3.0
- Raw Total
- 34.2
- Adjusted Total
- 43.6
Team Form & Stats
Wyoming
Record 4-7 · ATS 5-6 · O/U 2-9
Model Score
18.5
Vegas Spread
+7.5
Passing Yds
141
Rushing Yds
220
Pass TDs
1.1
Rush TDs
1.1
Hawai'i
Record 7-4 · ATS 7-4 · O/U 4-7
Model Score
25.0
Vegas Spread
-7.5
Passing Yds
168
Rushing Yds
174
Pass TDs
1.1
Rush TDs
0.8
Recent Game Log
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
@ Fresno State |
L 3-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ San Diego State |
L 7-24 |
✗ |
u |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
vs Colorado State |
W 28-0 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Air Force |
L 21-24 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs San José State |
W 35-28 |
✓ |
o |
| Date |
Opp |
Score |
ATS |
O/U |
| Nov 8, 2025 |
vs San Diego State |
W 38-6 |
✓ |
u |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
@ San José State |
L 38-45 |
✗ |
o |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
@ Colorado State |
W 31-19 |
✓ |
u |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
vs Utah State |
W 44-26 |
✓ |
o |
| Sep 27, 2025 |
@ Air Force |
W 44-35 |
✓ |
o |
First Half
15.9
Wyoming -1.9
Second Half
18.3
Wyoming -2.7
Spread Confidence
HIGH
Model Probability: 68%
Total Confidence
CONFIDENT
Model Probability: 79%
No high-confidence bets for this game
Total Points Analysis
Vegas Line
44.5
Model Play Line
54.5
Model Projection
43.6
Edge
UNDER by 10.9
UNDER 79% Confidence
UNDER 100%
OVER 100%
Generated with CFB Advanced Analytics Engine
Data refreshed: 11/26 2:20 PM
